clskinsfan

Mid Atlantic Weather fans and Redskin fans go hand in hand. Failure is imminent.

You just have to have realistic expectations friend

Oh FFS. I was somewhat excited about mid Feb this morning, come home from work and look at the model runs and Feb is already over. This winter and this hobby suck ass.

I definitely like our chances for something next weekend. GFS/CMC both hinting at something in that window. Could go poof like every other chance so far. But that would line up with prime climo for us.

Oy vey this thread is a train wreck. 18Z GFS still has a signal for next Sunday/Monday. That is probably our best chance for a legit storm. Temps should be fine. And it is our prime climo to get hit.

.3 here in the Winchester area. Beautiful walk this morning with all of the trees plastered.

Radar down in Charleston WV starting to light up. Precip looks far enough north for most of us I think.

I dont even look at it except for the 6 hour runs. It really did do well with last weeks snow. We will see if it was a blip or not.

It was damn good last week in all honesty.

If nothing else some ice cover should help keep your ground temps down if anything comes from the "main event" later.

HRRR bringing precip in a little earlier out this way. Tomorrow evening onset. Temps look really good. Snow into DC by midnight.

Just posted in the other thread. Didnt realize there was a dedicated thread. But the 12Z HRRR has very light snow and decent temps throughout the area. Just very little qpf. It did well last week IMO.

12Z HRRR is pretty paltry. It does have flakes through the area. And its plenty cold. Mid 20's out this way when the snow starts. But there just isnt much QPF with the event. It did pretty well with the last "event". So I wont ignore it any more.

CMC pretty nice as well. Although I think its short range is based on the RGEM.

The SER is dominate because the west coast trough has been dominate. You cant have a suppressed SER with a trough on the west coast without some kind of ridiculous blocking. Edit: And by the way. What the hell happened to the PV getting beaten to death? That just kind of disappeared into lala land.

If you mean the north Atlantic then sure. If you are saying it's not debatable on a global scale you would be wrong:

Holy shit. All time great right there!!!

Looks like a tomato horn worm. Cant stand them. They will destroy your tomato garden in 24 hours.

People need to remember there is an ignore feature on this site. Using it will make your experience much better. Just saying. I am actually feeling quite confident that just about everyone will see at least an inch of show over the next week. This winter has performed exactly how you would expect a Nina to perform. The Midwest has won and we have lost. But the advertised pattern is pretty much how we should expect to score in Nina. If we get a 4th Nina next year I am not even going to look at the models. They are simply miserable for our area.

Its actually the pattern we will probably score in. Will be multiple small events. But could be snowy for a couple of weeks at least.

Frikin finged....This winter sucks

GFS looking kind of tasty through 105

The long range pattern is utter garbage. But The long range models have been utter garbage as well. So you are right, who knows?

Winchester Pummeled.

It not. But I think if we are going to snow in this godforsaken Nina this is how it will happen though. A stalled front with waves riding the boundary. And it better happen over the next couple of weeks. Because after that winter is over.