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Everything posted by clskinsfan
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Look whats dropping in from Central Canada after Thanksgiving brother. No joke its COLD.
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I think its gonna snow way earlier than normal for lowlanders. Accumulating? Maybe not. But the cold coming isnt a joke either. Its gonna be shocking for some people the week after Thanksgiving is going to be straight up winter.
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Source cold from central Canada is no joke over the next couple of weeks. Low single digits even moderated to the east coast is high teens/lower 20's. Pretty anomalous for the Thanksgiving timeframe. Not unheard of but not anywhere near normal either. Cold turkey day incoming.
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Ninja'd
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Midlo of Maryland?
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I agree. They broke it when the "upgraded" it.
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Love that guidance wants to keep the pattern of sending storms up the coast in the longer range. Game on.
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Interesting how the NAO was mostly negative throughout the winter in all but Super Nino's. That is a weenie post for us if I have ever seen one.
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Yes. If we can get that Aleutian low to set up for a good chunk of the winter we are probably good to go. We should of course expect that in a Nino though.
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09/10 was an aberration period.
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That wave the week after Thanksgiving on the GFS is something to watch imo. The setup is decent. Get the NS to phase in at the right time and it could work out. And I agree with PSU about the lack of snow by December 15th. Out here it is the same. A no snow November/early December usually means a ratter. 2016 was saved with the storm of my lifetime. Or that winter was heading to a complete disaster as well. But I dont think we see no snow in either month. We are gonna have our chances.
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Sorry wrong spot to post.
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Short Pump screwed.
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LMAO! DT will never change man.
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They arent.
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Its the center of the countries politics. So people ONLINE tend to be very split. But not in real life. We are all just trying to survive until retirement. I read your post a bit ahead of here about your thoughts on a conflicted winter. One thing that has my interest are the sst cold anomalies in the north central Atlantic. They were there in 2009 as well. And we are seeing some signs of upwelling on the east coast already. Although the difference in ocean temp from 14 years ago is clear on the maps. The majority of my guess has to do with the tendency for storms to climb the coast this fall. And I am probably just a weenie looking for anything that reminds me of 09-10.
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18z GFS is close to our first flakes out here in the Shenandoah Valley for Sunday night into Monday. Would be right on time for out this way. Something to watch at least.
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Good post Stormy. Nino's are going to give us tons of chances. No guarantee its all snow. But we are going to get our precip. 12Z run of the GFS has a train of storms through the entire run. With the STJ looking active towards the end of its run. They just arent going to track well for us yet. At least according to this run.
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I would take this look a month from now. Still not quite cold enough for it to work out. And the gfs ends up squashing this storm. But that look would be tasty from mid December on. Even a little signal of CAD on that run as well.
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What? Dude created the golden snow shovel ffs. He would literally take his entire segment to salivate about snow. I am sensing a whole bunch of Marylanders up in here who never watched him
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Both are great. But when it was time to weenie there was no better weenie than Bob. When it WAS time to have a weenie breakdown. Bob would deliver
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Can you imagine Bob Ryan right now though? His head would be exploding at the possibilities. i am serious. We are gonna get smacked this winter. At least once.
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Cold as hell......Thats my obs.
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FOX 5 going pretty big for TV mets
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