Yep. We are all just weenie model watchers. Imagine having to actually give forecasts to millions of people at 4 day lead times and saying there is a really good possibility of a big snowstorm. Only to have these runs come out. I dont envy a Mets job at all.
I think I have been more level headed than usual tonight brother. I didnt beat my laptop with a hammer when the GFS ran. I just accepted our fate. We need the WAA. What's gonna be left of it anyways.
This is actually possible. A weaker HP and a stronger vort and we are still in the game. But I seriously doubt the models have it that wrong at 4 days lead time.
We are pretty begging for a 3-5 WAA thump at this point. We need the coastal to pop in SC or it is over. And PSU mentioned earlier about the primary needing to be driven up into KY. He's right. This isnt a Miller a bomb out of the Yucatan. We are pretty much cooked on the coastal storm at this point imo. Hope I am wrong.
Really no way for them to know the interaction with the PV that far out. What concerns me more is I was thinking the WAA was a lock for us. Not so sure on that anymore even.
It is completely heart breaking out here. I am going to chase this one to the beach I think. I need to go down there and do some stuff to my house anyways. And I havent been on a beach snow chase in a while.
Symphony was really good. Support your local college art programs ya'll. Looks like 18Z Euro took a step toward the GFS to me. It is more amped though. Not gonna complain about 7 inches of snow. But not really liking the progression I am seeing for my area. Is what it is.