clskinsfan

Please brother watch your ass. She is nasty.

It amazes me that the current weather models can see that rapid intensification. From a hurricane that was eating a ton of dry air to a beast. They predicted it. Basically human forecasting will be gone in the next 10 years.

Jesus look at the NE quadrant fire up. Nasty MOFO. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/floater.php?stormid=AL092024#homePageLink

It's not closed?

Prayers for the Big Bend. This is a Horrific beast coming.

Yeah. I was wrong again. For gods sake dont take my views as an educated person saying them. It is beasting now. Closed off and bombs away from here. Contracting eye and a beast has been born. Prayers for the Big Bend of Florida. Horrific for them

I dont know. It is still sucking on dry air.

Agree. I cant see this reaching major status. I could be wrong. But I dont think it is going to have enough time to do it. The flooding though is going to be disastrous in the Smokey's.

Looking pretty ragged right now with a lot of dry air to deal with.

15-20 foot surge? Yikes! The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Carrabelle, FL to Suwannee River, FL...15-20 ft Apalachicola, FL to Carrabelle, FL...10-15 ft Suwannee River, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...10-15 ft Chassahowitzka, FL to Anclote River, FL...8-12 ft Indian Pass, FL to Apalachicola, FL...6-10 ft Anclote River, FL to Middle of Longboat Key, FL...5-8 ft Tampa Bay...5-8 ft Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Englewood, FL...4-7 ft East of Mexico Beach, FL to Indian Pass, FL...3-5 ft Englewood, FL to Flamingo, FL...3-5 ft Charlotte Harbor...3-5 ft

DT got a new screen name?

Yeah it is nasty. Let it keep trending west a little bit. I dont want that much rain up here in the mountains. The Smokey Mountains are going to be disaster.

Frost warning for tonight. Cover your plants. Ridiculous Sept 8th first frost is a month early.

That's pretty early man. It is really early for low 40's here. Hopefully a sign of some early cold this year.

Cloudy with showers this morning gave way to a beautiful sunny day. Temp is 71 with a dry ne breeze. Perfect day.

I am actually not sure anything is good for us anymore when it comes to snow. The weird thing is the ocean temps in the Mid Atlantic have been cold for a few years now. Been trying to read and understand why that is happening. And best guesses I have seen attribute it to Northern Hemisphere ice melt due to CC. My theory is it is effecting the "normal" baroclinic zone on the east coast. And that is impacting storm tracks. But who the hell knows anymore? We have had some whacky ass storm tracks over the past few years.

Nah. I set all of my forecasts off of the 384 GFS. Works out all of the time.

The past couple of days have been glorious. Was 52 when I left the house this morning. Nothing better than late summer/early fall in the mountains.

I am keeping my mountain home just in case :). 4 hours is nothing for chasing a blizzard.

Just got home from a few days in OC. Waves are pumping!! Water has warmed up. Was sorry to leave. One more year until I am there full time.

HRRR pummels the Shen Valley overnight. How much is too much?

Bro. We live in the Mid Atlantic. Bust is our middle name.

My girls needed this love though. This drought was unbelievable.

She missed me by a few miles north. Not close enough for inflow even. I missed the best tornado video ever recorded again. Dont think I will live to record it. Heavy rain though. And man did we need it.