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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. clskinsfan
    Somebody is gonna get dry slotted when it tries to jump. Just the way it goes. Hopefully we all have 6 inches on the ground before that happens.
  2. clskinsfan
    No major difference on the confluence. That is all I care about. Icon and NAM both moved that north a tick. Its gonna be a good run I think. NVM. Its an icy mess.
  3. clskinsfan
    Pummeled
  4. clskinsfan
    NAM looking juicy at 60. A little less cold push on the east coast than 12Z. But minimal changes.
  5. clskinsfan
    The importance of the 50/50 for our temps cant be overstated. Storm is driving into cold NW winds. And the CAD holds on throughout the entire event.
  6. clskinsfan
    Your flight will probably be fine. But good luck getting around on the roads. We dont do snow driving very well here.
  7. clskinsfan
    An inch of total QPF out this way on the Euro. Would be well over a foot if its accurate.
  8. clskinsfan
    Euro drives the dry slot pretty far north this run. Some backside love out this way though. Beautiful run for the Northern Shen Valley.
  9. clskinsfan
    All of the models seem pretty much in agreement now. QPF is a little different on each. But the general idea is identical. Its a 6-12 for everyone. Perfect classic snowstorm.
  10. clskinsfan
    It looks really bad out towards Roanoke and the southern Shenandoah Valley. I hope they get a thump of snow up front to make it easier to clear the roads. Edited to add amazing how inside 90 hours the GFS starts to get a clue. Euro has been rock solid for days at this point.
  11. clskinsfan
    We all knew a north shift was coming. It happens every single time. Like I said. Nothing worse than being in the bullseye 6 days out. It is going to snow. We just dont know how much yet. The chances of a shut out are zero imo.
  12. clskinsfan
    GFS finally on board
  13. clskinsfan
    Yep. Its faster this run for sure. And souther. Congrats CHO
  14. clskinsfan
    A little half inch precursor would be nice.
  15. clskinsfan
    This hangover is just horrific. Still think it will come north a little bit. Always does.
  16. clskinsfan
    I literally lost it. Hahahaaha!
  17. clskinsfan
    Bro. We have been begging for cold for a decade at this point...
  18. clskinsfan
    I lost 8 inches. Ji would be ruined from that. Edit: Like I said earlier. A LOT of us are going to screwed during the WAA. It is the the way the cookie crumbles.
  19. clskinsfan
    The trend is what it is. I wonder what timeframe the models the actually start to figure out just how strong the confluence is. It is New Years Eve. And I have already been drinking since 1:30 so my memory is a little wrecked right now.
  20. clskinsfan
    I mean if I am honest I might actually trust the 84 hour NAM more than the ICON.....just saying
  21. clskinsfan
    I honestly cant remember the last time the Euro had me below freezing for the extended amount of time it did this run. It reminds me of the 1989 cold outbreak. Here are the coldest temps for our area on the run.
  22. clskinsfan
    Yeah. Someone is gonna get screwed out of the WAA. Just the way these things go. My wag is it ends up a little further north than even here. Nothing worse than being in the bullseye at day 6.
  23. clskinsfan
    Euro has been pretty rock solid on its depiction. Could be rock solidly wrong though.
  24. clskinsfan
    0Z HRRR gets some streamers out this way New Years afternoon. For those of us that live in the middle of nowhere.
  25. clskinsfan
    You have to if you like to cruise.
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