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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. ICON maybe 30 miles north with the vort at 36. Think it will be a better run.
  2. I think maybe its because of the shape of the precip field heading into the event? You have snow from Central Kansas to Central VA on this map.
  3. Wouldnt want to be a southern VA met right now. Your forecast would have to be anything from rain to 15 inches of snow.
  4. Ji and Yacht Rock. That is a dangerous combo I think.
  5. Northern crew will like the NAM as well. NOVA/DC fighting the sleet line.
  6. Anything over 8 inches is a pain in the ass now that I am an old man. Pretty nasty warning for the southern Shen Valley. up to 5 inches with a half inch of ice on top. Glacier maker according to their mets. ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 5 inches and ice accumulations up to four tenths of an inch.
  7. Its a beatdown. It has a nasty dryslot and drives the primary up into central WV. But this is right at that point. No clue what it would do with the ULL after this. But a serious hit on the front end. And should make the northern crew feel a little better.
  8. 18Z HRRR is beautiful. Snow and 19 degrees out here.
  9. Cant remember the last time I had a squall drop a half inch that didnt melt within a few hours. Nice going into the next event with snow already on the ground.
  10. I honestly dont know how anyone can panic about 4 inches of cold powder that will be on the ground for weeks. Also with another threat just days away after this one. We have a chance at a historic January here.
  11. I think next weekends event ends up a bomb for you guys. Would be nice to get the entire East Coast buried by the end of the month.
  12. FV3 is my soulmate. Still a ways to go snowfall wise after this too.
  13. It just jumps a little too late for us on the Euro. Still in the game though.
  14. I dont have access to the 51 panel at 12z on the Euro. But it is still closed off at 48 then open at 54. Seems to be in the middle of the GFS/UK.
  15. Me either. And I am banging my head against the wall.
  16. Euro stays closed off longer than the UK. But not as long as the GFS. Probably the happy medium?
  17. I am up in Winchester. So I am not out of the game. But I would certainly prefer a combo of the Euro/UK over the American models. I think you all are sitting pretty to be honest. And glad for the southern Shenandoah Valley. You guys are due.
  18. Also at 51 the GFS is closed off at 500 in KY and the UK is not. So the GFS is trying to drive the surface low north. The UK is not. Crazy the difference this close to the event.
  19. GFS has the surface low in southern WV. The UK has it in northern SC. They are worlds apart. And one is going to bust badly.
  20. GFS about to line us up again way out in lala land. This could be like an 80's January in so many ways. Wall to wall cold and storms.
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