clskinsfan
-
Posts
10,002 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by clskinsfan
-
I would be fine with it just like that. No rain for us out here. Snow to ice to dry slot. Which would then become a glacier for a few days. It is a decent run.
-
The Australian long range MJO forecast was all in during the fall with us going through 7-8-1 in the heart of our best climo. The majority of the spaghetti plots still go through 8 but at a low amplitude. They dont make it to 1 though. I didnt keep records back in 93' 94'. I was in Loudoun then and I do remember it being very icy. I found a pretty good site with write ups on some of the worst storms of that season: https://tornadogenius.fandom.com/wiki/1993-94_United_States_winter_storm_season
-
If the MJO makes it to 781 during late Jan early Feb then the long range MJO models would have been spot on. I was looking at them in late Nov and salivating at the thought of that happening.
-
The roads are a mess out in the Winchester area. Solid ice. Should make for a fun morning commute.
-
Cedar Creek Grade Rd?
-
Sun is out in the Winchester area. Talk about a sharp back edge.
-
Just got home from Harrisonburg. 81 was an absolute disaster. Still snowing here with 4.1 inches on my board. Very light swnow falling though. Really a great event. And it was beautiful driving up and down 81 in it.
-
No doubt. Nothing getting done in this meeting
-
It is just dumping in Harrisonburg right now. In a work meeting watching it out the window. Nickle size flakes pounding. Looks like close to 3 inches here already.
-
Forgot to mention in my earlier post that the drive from Winchester to Harrisonburg was OK. 81 from New Market south is snow covered. But traffic was moving fine. Still dumping here in Harrisonburg. The afternoon drive home should be fun.
-
Down in Harrisburg. They have around an inch and a half. And perfect dendrites falling here. Beautiful winter day!
-
Cloudy 27//19 here NW of Winchester. I am on my way to Harrisonburg. Looks like it is already snowing down that way?
-
Yeah. If 81 is crushed I will do that.
-
-
NAM's ratio's are really solid from Leesburg and west right at the start. 11-12 to 1 for the entire event. Really looking forward to tomorrow. I will be in Harrisonburg, VA until around noon. Then driving up the Shenandoah Valley on 81 to Winchester. Should be fun. 31/19 NW of Winchester.
-
I have a question. Why is there no surface low showing up on guidance? Rotation is clearly there at 850?
-
2M temps at onset. The NAM is getting colder as we get closer as well. Earlier I said someone is going to get 3 inches out of this. But 4 is a realistic possibility now for the southern Valley. Fun event to track.
-
Hi Res Euro says game on. 3+ in the Shenandoah Valley. 2 inches in the DC burbs. Nice heavy burst of snow late morning to midday.
-
I have to work in Harrisonburg tomorrow. Looks like the perfect spot to be for this one.
-
These are the RGEM temps at the onset of precip. Those of us in the Shenendoah Valley are looking really good for this one IMO. Most of the models are starting to juice up a little bit as we get closer as well. Someone is gonna grab 3+ inches in the 81 corridor:
-
We are looking good for at least 2 inches IMO.
-
12Z RGEM is pretty tasty. 2 inches + throughout the entire DC metro.
-
Nice little event for the 81 crew. 2 Inches would do a lot to cheer everyone up before we roast.
-
GFS looks a lot like the 12Z Euro. I will take those two over the NAM
-
Only people that are going to like the 18Z NAM are on the Eastern Shore. Congrats Salisbury.
