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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. clskinsfan
    Few flurries out here in the Winchester area. And the wind is ripping.
  2. clskinsfan
    February is lost at this point. And March snow sucks
  3. clskinsfan
    33 and rain out here in the Winchester area. This winter sucks.
  4. clskinsfan
    Its over. This will go down as the 2nd worst winter in my lifetime. Pathetic is the only word I can use to describe it.
  5. clskinsfan
    Especially when Ma Nature throws a Coronavirus at you like a +AO/+NAO combination. We just cant buy any real cold air this winter.
  6. clskinsfan
  7. clskinsfan
    12Z CMC is basically a disastrous run. Fire up the Panic Room.
  8. clskinsfan
    0Z NAM has some snow out this way on Saturday morning. But overall it is pretty lame. Haha....Ninja'd
  9. clskinsfan
    At least the Models are all agreeing on an upcoming active pattern. Maybe none of those storms work out for us. But I would be shocked if that happened during our prime climo. I would bet heavily that my area gets hit at least once in the next couple of weeks. I would never bet anything when it comes to DCA and snow though.
  10. clskinsfan
    18Z NAM is a lot closer to mood flakes for Thursday. If that ends up verifying the CMC will deserve some credit.
  11. clskinsfan
    Icon is snow on snow for the 81 corridor. I would take it in a heartbeat. Surface temps are barely at freezing for both events for west of the Catoctins. Would be white rain verbatim.
  12. clskinsfan
    I tend to agree with you. A 50% chance of 3 inches of snow through mid Feb for our area would be normal.
  13. clskinsfan
    And right on cue the GFS pounds the Shenandoah Valley. Edit: pound is the wrong word. More like white rain.
  14. clskinsfan
    I dont look at the models for accuracy outside of 4 days. I look for chances to score. And all of the models are showing chances for snow. Maybe not big storms. But chances.
  15. clskinsfan
    I still see tons of upcoming chances for flakes on the Icon.
  16. clskinsfan
    Hi Res Euro isnt as good as the regular one. Still a decent hit for the 81 corridor.
  17. clskinsfan
    its a nice hit for the favored areas. Temps are better than the Euro as well. Thats as far west as I want to see it track though. Even out here.
  18. clskinsfan
    It is a great look for sure. Temps are a bit iffy at the start verbatim. But it is way too early to be even thinking about that. I would also prefer the phase to happen a bit further south. At least for my area. But exciting run overall
  19. clskinsfan
    The GFS was a pretty big weenie run for out this way. The only thing I am taking away from it is that an active pattern is coming. I dont think we get shut out in our prime climo period if it really end up being that active.
  20. clskinsfan
    Damn! Shenandoah Valley bullseye!
  21. clskinsfan
    If the 6z GFS was to verify I would never doubt atmospheric memory again. It would be a historic few weeks for the Great Lakes region.
  22. clskinsfan
    Problem is there is really no cold air unless the storm tracks perfectly. If we had some real cold in place I would definitely be more interested.
  23. clskinsfan
    Yeah. That has heartache written all over it. According to that map I get snow. But i'll believe it when I see it.
  24. clskinsfan
    This is the biggest problem. All of the cold air is trapped on the wrong side of the NH. I would think the next real threat will be when the pattern relaxes and allows some of that cold air to drop into the conus. We dont need frigid air to snow in Jan/Feb, especially out this way, But we do need the upper levels to be cold at least.
  25. clskinsfan
    The GFS and CMC are almost identical with the track on their runs. Pretty wild to see at such a long range.
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