clskinsfan

Cobb data from the NAM 18Z run is just silly. Gives MRB 4 inches of snow in one hour. 32 total.

ICON got a clue. Coming around. 1038 over the top. Starts as snow for everyone.

You are right. ICON still warm for tomorrow.

3K is snow in Winchester from 14z to 18z tomorrow.

NAM gives me 7 tomorrow and 23 on Wednesday. If that came true I would eat my shoe.

I will take my 30 inches and run. Just go ahead and bank the 84 Hour NAM right now.

We get absolutely destroyed. Cant wait for Cobb data

Heres mine: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations ranging from 1 to 2 inches in the valleys with 2 to 4 inches in the ridges above of 1000 feet. * WHERE...Portions of north central and western Maryland, northwest Virginia and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 1 PM EST Monday. Rain will range to snow, mostly likely between 7 AM and 9 AM Monday morning. The heaviest snow is most likely late Monday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Visibility may be reduced below one mile at times in falling snow.

Agree. It is actually plenty wet. Almost 2 inches QPF.

The Euro is beautiful. We miss out on the ccb stuff out here. But it is just hours upon hours of snow. Great run.

UKIE has 850's below zero in the 81 corridor. Surface too warm though.

The Ukie drops 6-8 inches in six hours west of town. So yes. If you are west of town look at the UKIE.

12Z Cobb data for MRB. Has a little under a half inch. 201214/1000Z 22 VRB01KT 38.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.016 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 0| 0|100 201214/1100Z 23 08004KT 37.7F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.159 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.18 0| 0|100 201214/1200Z 24 04003KT 34.2F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.205 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.38 58| 0| 42 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 201214/1300Z 25 VRB02KT 33.0F SNOW 9:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.215 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.59 84| 0| 16 201214/1400Z 26 VRB01KT 32.6F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.212 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.81 85| 0| 15 201214/1500Z 27 VRB02KT 32.6F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.241 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.05 88| 0| 12 201214/1600Z 28 30003KT 32.8F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.101 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.15 86| 0| 14 201214/1700Z 29 33003KT 32.8F SNOW 5:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.070 1:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.22 86| 0| 14 201214/1800Z 30 29004KT 35.0F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.017 1:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.24 31| 0| 69

That 72 hr map on the UKIE is classic. Nice 50/50. 1038 over the top, And a LP on the gulf coast. I would love to see an 84 map.

12Z CMC jumps on the warm train. No snow for anyone except way out in the WV mountains.

1.5 to 2 inches total precip throughout the area on the GFS. No lack of moisture for sure.

Pretty much locked in now that this will be my first 10+ inch storm since 2016. I had 9 inches from the March 2018 storm. And nothing else over 4 inches in the 4 year span. That is a crazy drought for out here.

Good timing on the GFS Deform sets up right at dark. Should help a little with temps as well for you guys to the east. It is an amazing run.

84-90 is an absolute crush job out here. Geez.

72 Snowing in Roanoke. 850 line at VA NC Border. This should be a nice run. 78 Snowing everywhere. 850 still down around RIC. 81. BOOM

Wrong thread.

GFS is a little stronger with tomorrow's wave. Should make for a better 50/50. Nice CAD down to GA again at 60

GFS is a little colder this run. Mid 30's at the surface during the heaviest stuff out this way. And it does actually show snow falling in the 81 corridor tomorrow.

If Ellinwood is bullish out here it is on. I am even expecting some mixing out here at this point. The problem is the HP location. The models are wanting to take it a little too far east. Either way I am not gonna complain. Those of us out west look to be in the perfect spot for this one.