Agreed. It is a 3-5 storm. And has always been a 3-5 storm. Moving way to fast for it to be any more than that. Outside of a lolly or slant stick somewhere.
They are pretty bullish for us. Must be disregarding the drier Euro solution.
18Z HRRR tracks the low through the Shenandoah Valley into central MD. Glad that model is utter garbage.