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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. clskinsfan
    GEFS inline with the op .6-.8 qpf for the area.
  2. clskinsfan
    CMC is a nasty ice storm for the weekend for all of us.
  3. clskinsfan
    CMC only has about a 4 hour lull out here. Pretty much snows from hour 36 to 74. And I get a whopping .8 total qpf out of that. One thing that seems to be coming into agreement from the models is less than an inch of total qpf from this through Friday. Pretty paltry for a 2 and a half day storm.
  4. clskinsfan
    The GFS did cut back on total qpf. But it brought it more in line with the other models. A lot of that qpf for the Winchester area comes from a lucky band with the second wave. In the end I think this ends up a 4-8 event for everyone. Cant really complain about that. Except the fact that it takes 2 full days to get there.
  5. clskinsfan
    The NAM definitely ticked north with the second wave. Best run from that model for my area yet. Good trends so far at 12z IMO.
  6. clskinsfan
    Second wave looks juiced on this run at 54.
  7. clskinsfan
    NAM qpf pretty similar to the HRRR with the first wave. Just a sharper cutoff to the south. 4-6 for the winchester area.
  8. clskinsfan
    First wave is 4-6 for our area.
  9. clskinsfan
    12z HRRR is beautiful for the DC area with the first wave. Two distinct camps right now. The Euro and CMC favor central VA. The American models favor DC and west for the highest qpf. Pretty crazy we are 24 hours out and have this much disagreement. But sign me up for what the HRRR is selling.
  10. clskinsfan
    Agreed. UK is pretty similar to the gfs on the areas it hits. Just less qpf overall.
  11. clskinsfan
    DC Jack through 78 on the CMC.
  12. clskinsfan
    CMC looks solid for DC going off of this site. Kind of similar to the RGEM out this way. But a little better with the second wave. https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html
  13. clskinsfan
    Just a touch more juiced up than the Euro. An inch plus for almost everyone.
  14. clskinsfan
  15. clskinsfan
    Through 75 its beautiful. Looks a lot like the Euro for our area. 84 still snowing. Complete crush job!!
  16. clskinsfan
    RGEM with the Winchester screwjob in the first wave as well. OKV is the new DCA
  17. clskinsfan
    Yeah. Its a pretty disappointing screw job for my area in all honesty. Light rates with the first half and a whiff south with the second. It is what it is.
  18. clskinsfan
    Hagerstown crushed at 60. My area kind of gets screwed with light rates so far this run. 69-72 DC south in the good rates.
  19. clskinsfan
    Nice hit from 51-54 NOVA/DC. Virtually nothing south of that so far though.
  20. clskinsfan
    NAM much colder this run. 850 line down to the VA/NC border at 12z Wednesday.
  21. clskinsfan
    0z HRRR looks pretty paltry with the first wave. But way out there for that model.
  22. clskinsfan
    It did move the one inch contour 20 or 30 miles south. But still a great run.
  23. clskinsfan
    They would create one for 42 inches I think.
  24. clskinsfan
    This will do fine. Then we can call it a winter:
  25. clskinsfan
    What a weenie run on the 18Z GFS. Ridiculous.
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