Steve25

Not going to be picky. Winter storm is a winter storm. Honestly, an ice bombs justifies my decision to take off today more than snow would have. Haven't ever really experienced a sleet/freezing rain storm before, so something to remember. Let's go!

Going on an ice walk! I'll take any type of winter storm over a 50 degree rain storm!

Honestly what I really want from this storm is a few hours of really heavy rates this morning, even if that comes in the form of sleet. Haven't had HEAVY wintry precip in a long time lol.

About 50/50 snow and sleet in Parkville 21234. Temperatures really climbed overnight. Was 23 when I went to bed at midnight. Now 28. Is that normal? I do love how sleet immediately lays on everything. Wastes no time starting accumulations

Well, his write up still encourages good things lol

Gutsy!

Precip is going to be heavy in the morning. Very heavy in some spots. NW of the cities is safer for mostly snow. Near the cities is a very close call on exactly how much will be snow vs sleet. SE of the cities is probably a majority sleet. Pretty similar to many winter storms for our area. *Edit* I shouldn't say majority sleet. That's not a sure thing at all. But as you go NW you have the best shot for majority snow, as usual.

There's going to be heavy precip falling into temps in the 20s. The line between snow vs sleet looks to be setting up where it would normally set up for this region. But very heavy precip. Sweating the EXACT placement of the sleet on tonight's models seems a bit...wasteful?

Been very busy today, but around Baltimore is it fair to expect snow to start around 6-7 AM, get moderate/heavy between like 7-10 AM, then mix with/change to sleet in the late morning, before pretty much wrapping up in the early to mid afternoon? That's kind of the impression I got from the last NAM run I saw. Wasn't sure what the feeling was in here about how much precipitation falls anytime after early afternoon tomorrow.

But that was because it was clogging up the thread and a lot of them were uneventful frames. I think you had the best of intentions but they share the eventful model frames in these threads and discuss.

Probably just in catch up mode. Things just started looking more wintry after days of looking like a pure rain maker. I'm sure if this is a real trend and it continues into tomorrow, the weather app forecasts will start to resemble it.

What? It's 3-5 days away. Literally all you can do is talk about the model outcomes right now. I understand if your bitter that model snow has not turned into real snow in multiple cases, but you're going to get annoyed with people for posting model results in a thread that is made for doing just that?

Yeah, temperatures stay below 30 the full duration of the storm with a ton of precip. Would be a doozy if accurate. Obviously a huge if.

Isn't this just...Spring?! Lmao

If Covid wasn't a thing, that would be wonderful!

It feels like one of those winters where everyone will give up and then there will be some stupid 6-10 inch slop snow in March just before we hit 70 degrees lol

BWI is on the verge of doing something it's never done in our history of keeping records. They have not recorded a total of at least 8 inches of snow in a single month in four consecutive winters. If they don't do it before Spring comes this year, it will be 5 consecutive, which has NEVER been done. So that's... something.

Feels like it got colder. When I shoveled at 6 AM things were pretty wet, just came back out and my car is very icy. Parkville 21234

Just stopping in to give my areas report. FINALLY Parkville(21234) cashes in on one! I measured about 5 inches on multiple cold surfaces- Grass, Car, Porch etc. Obviously substantially less on warmer pavement, but still enough to require shoveling. Sorry to anyone who missed out on this one. Hopefully EVERYONE can cash in at some point!

I feel my stress level rise everytime I check the models or these forums, especially being that I know before we know it, it'll be Spring so I'm grasping especially hard for something good. I'm going to try to show self-control and be like a normal person the next week. Only use my weather app, radar, and the reports I see on social media lol. No models or forum. I'll come back next Wednesday. Hopefully something will pop for ALL of us!

Maaaaaan if some of these models are correct and we come out of this pattern of very cold air to our NW and a very active storm track with only small events, ice storms, slop storms, and rain storms and never allowing that cold air to truly infiltrate our area for at least a few days, I'm going to hit rock bottom. Significant cold/dry or significant snow. I'm not picky.

I'm not so confident this is going to continue for another few weeks. I think we've got this week and first half of next week for a ripe setup. Heard things like the AO, NAO, and PNA are headed in rough directions after that. Also with days getting longer, sun angle, yada yada. Hopefully we all cash in with one of these next couple events.

And to follow up on that, we FINALLY have a major blast of cold air infiltrating into the country, and we have a train of potential systems near our area on the models. Sure, that's nice because you'd have the hopes that one of those storms would track nicely with that cold air and provide our area with a snowstorm over the next 10 days. That possiblity still exists. The idea that really bothers me is that there's also potential every one of those potential storms winds up as either an ice maker, a slop storm, a relatively non-event, or even a rainstorm if it tracks too far north or west. In that scenario, not only do we not get a snowstorm, but due to that train of storms, we'd also never get the blast of cold air. Then before you know it, it's Spring. I know many of you would have my head for saying this, but if a weather god came to me right now and said for the next 10 days, you can either be on the brink of the cold air with a very active storm track, OR it'll be very dry but you'll be guaranteed it to be a bitter cold 10 days, I'd take the guaranteed cold. At this point I'm just done with the potential after potential. Give me some guaranteed winter and then I'll call it a season. Hopefully things work out and one of these storms does end up giving us the goods before Spring.

I think the thing that actually bogs me down more than lack of substantial snow, is lack of real cold. I LOVE winter so much, it's my serenity. You give me a winter that has some downright bitter cold stretches, where I can take my hikes on days where highs struggle to get out of the 20s and I can see my breath and hear the crunchy frozen ground beneath my shoes, and visit the river that is at least somewhat frozen and I'll be so happy. Winters like this kill me though. So many days with highs in the 40s. The snow events I have gotten have been dinky little events where melting occurs pretty quick. The lack of substantial snow along with no bitter cold stretches at all just hurts. We have 3 months(some might argue 2) of the year that can get true blasts of cold weather and when we can't even get it then, it's a real downer for me.

5 years in a row my location hasn't even reached 8 inches total in a single month. So yeah, I still enjoy these little events but the frustration is building.