Steve25

All my weenie eyes can see is that a formidable jump NW and this turns into a mega-cold, beautiful snowstorm. I don't know the pattern details like you guys, so I don't even know if it's realistic to think it could come NW, but man

100%. Even with the lack of a BIG storm, it actually feels like winter this January!

Yeah, I mean I get it, but I got 6 inches from the last storm and I'm still seeing a fair amount of it around 10 days later. Hard to complain about that. Now, the scraps will likely melt the next two days, but then hopefully get replenished on Sunday before our next extreme shot of cold.

That's not far from average for this time of year

The overall look is that we drop to around 20 degrees as the sun rises Monday morning, really don't rise at all during the day Monday. Then mid-teens for highs both Tuesday and Wednesday, with lows in the single digits. Likely at least 72 consecutive hours under 20 degrees.

Has anyone mentioned that the CMC has Baltimore at NEGATIVE 12 degrees next Thursday morning LOL

One thing the GFS and Euro agree on is that the high temp around Baltimore on Tuesday will be 12/13 degrees, and that we drop below 20 Monday morning and don't climb back to 20 until Thursday.

I've seen a few people saying the potential pattern around the 20th and beyond reminds them of 2013/2014. Can someone remind me of the storms we got during that time? I know there weren't any huge storms, but the winter overall was well above average. Was it a bunch of like 4-8 inch events?

I say this with all seriousness, do you really want the GFS showing big hits 7-10+ days out? Almost feels like the kiss of death recently. Just look for signs of cold air with storm activity in the vicinity at this range.

Driving from Baltimore City to Bel Air from the bars just now was treacherous. All roads were caved, not excluding 95. It was not the most fun drive, but made it safely.

Oh, I'll definitely let it go. It was just a quick thought I had in a weak moment and I thought if there was anywhere I might be comfortable sharing it, it would be in here. I'm on to the next period of interest.

Is anyone else kind of down that this next storm system is just going to graze by? I understand there are factors in play that are leading to this result. I just can't stop thinking about how a week ago all the talk was about how the second week of January was loaded with potential, with the big fear being that it would be too cold and lead to suppression. Now here we are, into the second week of January and we're about to have a significant system moving through the south, and we're not in some unbelievable, brutal cold airmass, yet...it's still not going to work out. I just keep thinking, man, if that thing could just hit the coast and ride up. Feels like this could've been the one to take this January from okay to GREAT. I'll continue to hope for around the 20th and beyond, but this one stings. Just ranting it out.

Oh okay. Well then in my backyard specifically, then!

I think we will have a really good idea by 12z tomorrow

Looking forward to waking up and seeing the official final totals around Baltimore/BWI. Fingers crossed for the first 6+ inch event in 9 years!