Steve25

I’d say that was a very successful 12z suite. GFS and Icon became much more favorable. Euro and Ukie stayed very good. CMC was the only real downer, and I don’t think that’s worth stressing over.

Anarchy

Let’s be honest here, even if the Canadian showed a monster, everyone still would be living or dying on the Euro

Looks like it brings the best of accumulation east of the OP, but not drastically. Still great!

Hey, I work at DCA1! Sounds like a nightmare

BE STILL MY BEATING HEART!

I don’t think “pretty brutal” does this stretch of years service, specifically around Baltimore. I think a strong argument could be made that this is the worst stretch of winters BWI has ever had in the history of record keeping, in terms of snowfall. 8 consecutive winters with total snowfall under 19 inches coming into this winter. That has never been done before. BWI went 7 winters in a row one other time in history, but even during that stretch, they only were held to single digits once. We’ve been held to single digits 3 times in the past 8 years. One of those being literally our worst winter of all time, with the 0.2 inches in 2022/23. There are 8 and 9 year old children who live around here who have no clue what a legitimate snowstorm is like. We’ve had a couple storms around Baltimore during this stretch where if you happen to measure in the perfect spot, you may scratch the surface of 6 inches, but that’s been the max for 9+ years. To say we’re due for a big one at some point is an understatement.

The thing I don’t understand are the people saying the pattern change keeps getting pushed back. PSU, along with some of the other intelligent posters in here have been saying for a while now that the real opportunity for something significant will be around the 18th or later, if I’m not mistaken. They seem to not have budged off of that. They even said that anything before that has some potential, but that it’s messy and no real opportunity for a big one. I understand that people would prefer to cash in on ANY type of potential, and that the earlier in February climo the better, but the sentiment that the advertised exciting period keeps getting shoved back seems wildly misunderstood and exaggerated.

Because they’re weenies

All my weenie eyes can see is that a formidable jump NW and this turns into a mega-cold, beautiful snowstorm. I don't know the pattern details like you guys, so I don't even know if it's realistic to think it could come NW, but man

100%. Even with the lack of a BIG storm, it actually feels like winter this January!

Yeah, I mean I get it, but I got 6 inches from the last storm and I'm still seeing a fair amount of it around 10 days later. Hard to complain about that. Now, the scraps will likely melt the next two days, but then hopefully get replenished on Sunday before our next extreme shot of cold.

That's not far from average for this time of year

The overall look is that we drop to around 20 degrees as the sun rises Monday morning, really don't rise at all during the day Monday. Then mid-teens for highs both Tuesday and Wednesday, with lows in the single digits. Likely at least 72 consecutive hours under 20 degrees.

Has anyone mentioned that the CMC has Baltimore at NEGATIVE 12 degrees next Thursday morning LOL