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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    Big deal if 3K is correct. Warnings will need to go up for DC and immediate suburbs. Big change. Any comments from the Mets on 3K? Is it out to lunch?
  2. Weather Will
    We will know if WB 3K NAM is correct soon. 10 am radar compared to 0Z. 10 am surface temps are colder too do to rates. Big deal
  3. Weather Will
    WB 3K 6Z NAM zoomed snow map comparison to 0Z.
  4. Weather Will
    WB 6Z 3K NAM gives more moisture to western burbs than 0Z.
  5. Weather Will
    WB 0Z snow maps compared to 18Z. Nice storm but nothing major about it in Frederick or Loudon counties except Northern Catoctins on this run.
  6. Weather Will
    0Z 3K NAM was a drier run for the western burbs compared to 18Z. I see no sign of the IVT east of the mountains this run. Reality is setting in that this is a major storm for the eastern DC burbs and the shore. I will be happy with 3-5 inches of snow blowing around in 40 mph gusts Monday am. Maybe I will get a miracle burst from the IVT to jack my totals but not counting on it.
  7. Weather Will
    WB 3K NAM 10pm.
  8. Weather Will
    WB 3K NAM transitions to steadier snow by 6pm.
  9. Weather Will
    12K is crap model. 3K not nearly as good during the day.
  10. Weather Will
    Busy day and getting caught up. Lot of talk about the low hugging the coast or going west. My non expert observation is that the reason we don't get slammed further west/ south is because the low intensifies parallel to the Delmarva rather than further south say off of Norfolk. If the storm intensifies faster than forecast and hugs the coast then the NW burbs could get heavier snow. Also, can someone better explain the IVT? I still don't get it. Thanks.
  11. Weather Will
    WB 18Z ICON ticked west.
  12. Weather Will
    WB 18Z 3K NAM wind gusts 40-50 are widespread developing by midnight Sunday and lasting for a good part of Monday.
  13. Weather Will
    Think someone said NAM runs off the NMB? Here is WB 15Z SREF NMB...
  14. Weather Will
    Nice run! Winds seem to peak with 40 mph gusts Monday am. Snowcrete followed by snowcane!
  15. Weather Will
    WB 12Z 3K NAM is west with this run. However, way too warm everywhere during the day for much accumulation except maybe on grass/mulch.
  16. Weather Will
    WB 12Z HRRR looked pretty good to me.
  17. Weather Will
    WB 6Z EURO zoomed on IVT
  18. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GFS
  19. Weather Will
    Hope you are correct!!!
  20. Weather Will
    WB 3K NAM does intensify as it gets to our latitude and annihilates the eastern shore through southern NE. Just does not dig enough southwest to give us the goods.
  21. Weather Will
    6Z NAMs weaker so far, not as intense. Ex. WB 6Z 3K NAM 1 pm Sunday compared to 0Z. Not as intense, not consolidating energy and going negative tilt.
  22. Weather Will
    WB 6Z HRRR low stalls off Delmarva, intensifies, and slowly slides East. Showing 9pm and 1am positions. Winds also a factor 20-50mph on the coast. Only thing keeping this from a crippling storm is surface temps which stay above freezing until 9-10 pm. If this is too warm, look out!
  23. Weather Will
    WB 0Z ICON went west compared to 18Z.
  24. Weather Will
    WB 0Z HRRR 7pm Sunday and more to go. We are being HRRR'D!!!!
  25. Weather Will
    WB 0Z HRRR..look at the pressure leaning NW.
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