Weather Will

WB 18Z GFS

WB 15Z SREF NMB

For Sunday night: freeze watch N and W Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page- Warren-Clarke-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Morgan- Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Germantown, Damascus, Lisbon, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Warrenton, Purcellville, Big Meadows, Wintergreen, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 948 AM EDT Sat Apr 16 2022 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northeast and northern Maryland, central, northern, northwest and western Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From late Sunday night through Monday morning. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. WB 12Z NAM

Since I have a family event on Easter, I have been tracking this for two weeks. Just glad the storm is later Monday rather than tomorrow. Still amusing to see the NAM…. If I see any flakes it will be great, but I will take the precip for my new grass and plants. WB 6Z NAM

WB 5pm Mon NAM is pretty impressive cold for western suburbs with it 30 degrees below normal….

WB OZ NAM

WB 21Z SREF NMB

Euro has a storm as well still, albeit not a snowstorm east of the mountains. GFS still wants nothing to with it. WB 12Z EURO and Can.

Easter looking seasonably chilly with highs in the 50s. Storm delayed or denied for Monday? Model war with GFS saying what storm and Canadian and EURO want A Nor’easter (cold rain or even some sleet mixed in with some snow in the higher elevations. Will try to post some maps after 12Z…

Rainy Easter on WB 12Z GFS

Haven’t had a big Easter gathering with the family for 3 years. 12Z EURO

WB 0Z EPS looks wet with temps seasonable next 10 days.

Not cold enough as would be expected this time of year, but it is chilly and there is a low to our south. Actually pretty good forecast 2 weeks ago for an unsettled week this week.

Amazing period of early Spring cold. Went for a lunch time walk with air temps hovering around freezing with a cold breeze. Sunny afternoon, but the sun did not feel warm…impressive!!!

I will be posting tropical storm probabilities soon enough…

WB 18Z GFS wants nothing to do with snow next week….

WB 12Z GEFS, early next week…

The Day 10 period is the time to watch. There is some EPS support for a coastal. WB 18Z GFS and 12Z EPS.

Still looking for my early April blizzard…fringed with P21 WB 6Z GEFS. If we can post weird faces, I can post snow maps.

WB 18Z GEFS: note % is for 6 inches…

WB 6Z GFS through Day 7

WB 12Z EURO at Day 10….pretty intense anomalies being forecasted.

Been gardening all day….check back in midweek…models have been horrible outside a few days anyway…

WB 6Z GEFS does give some support to the deterministic model.

Sorry about that….