Weather Will

I don't think we should post the GFS outside 4 days; waste of time.

We can still get a big storm in the Mid Atlantic; congrats Outer Banks! Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Beaufort-Mainland Hyde-Northern Outer Banks- Including the cities of Plymouth, Manns Harbor, Manteo, East Lake, Gum Neck, Duck, Kill Devil Hills, Bath, Swanquarter, Roper, Kitty Hawk, Columbia, Aurora, Engelhard, Chocowinity, Stumpy Point, Belhaven, Ponzer, Washington, Creswell, Fairfield, Scranton, Southern Shores, and Nags Head 231 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 10 and 16 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 50 to 60 mph. * WHERE...A portion of eastern North Carolina. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Strong winds could cause tree damage.

Just trying to annoy you.; back to sleep

Latest WB 0Z EURO AI 15 day accum.. time to take a vacation

WB 0Z EURO AI

WB 0Z runs are starting; did the EURO tease us or do we have the start of a positive trend?

I know but that picture fits the mood right now....

Sigh: WB 18Z EURO AI; can't make this stuff up.

WB 18Z EPS for one inch compared to 12Z

Quick count about 18%.

WB 18Z EPS; 20-30% make it to DC

Next!

WB 12Z AI EPS has two members out of 50 that bring snow to DC- 4%.

WB 12Z GEFS is a slow bleed to Dr. No.

Try to look at the glass as half full; we have below freezing temps for over a week with snow and ice on the ground. Kids got out of school for several days and the government let people work from home for three days. Hopefully we can still cash in on a pure snow event, but this winter gets a B so far from me.

WB 12Z GFS compared to 6Z basically a hold.

ULL did not tilt negative and is too far south. I guess if it started out further west it gives it more time to go negative.

4pm, too progressive, lows far east of coast.

1pm , ULL looks too positively tilted.

WB 12Z 12K NAM 4am Sat.

WB 12K NAM HR 57 compared to 6Z clearly shows higher heights.

WB 12Z 12K NAM Hr. 30; heights higher in east compared to 6Z.

WB 6Z EPS compared to 0Z.

We don't have a final solution yet, but AI so far east 3 days out is a huge red flag.

WB 6Z EURO compared to OZ