Weather Will

Latest NAM is a disaster if you are looking for rain....WB 18Z 3K NAM

NWS discussion: Clouds will lower and thicken further on Tue with rain or showers slowly spreading further NW through the day Tuesday. Rain/showers should reach the Route 15 corridor by Tue evening. Rain will continue off and on Tue night through Wed as coastal low gets closer to the area. The low pressure center will begin to exit the area Wed night with the rain/showers ending from west to east Wed night. Ensemble guidance suggest half to inch and half of rain may fall along and east of I-95.

WB 12Z GFS for midweek. Added WB 12Z EURO

WB 18Z EURO and AI for midweek.

WB 18Z GFS stays south again...the new Dr. No....

WB 18Z NAM for what it is worth at this range, big shift north compared to 12z.

WB 18Z NBM at Day 4

WB 18Z ensemble rain totals thru day 6. GFS, EURO AI, and Euro.

Can you pin September? Thanks.

WB latest EURO weeklies. First fantasy dusting in the mountains third week of October....

Apparently there is a South Pole stratwarm event that also happened in 13-14. Long explanation at the severe weather EU site about how that could be a sign of what the pattern will be here this winter. https://www.severe-weather.eu/category/global-weather/

As you travel through Frederick, if you are going highway speed, you can see a little drizzle on the windshield....

6Z EURO AI: maybe around the 16th or 22nd we see some rain.

NWS official forecast is still mostly dry for tomorrow. Low pressure off the coast will provide more clouds and possibly a shower near and east of I-95 on Wednesday.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 815 PM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025 MDZ509-510-VAZ503-WVZ501-505-080800- /O.NEW.KLWX.FR.Y.0007.250908T0600Z-250908T1200Z/ Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett-Western Highland-Western Grant- Western Pendleton- 815 PM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 34 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...In Maryland, Eastern Garrett and Western Garrett Counties. In Virginia, Western Highland County. In West Virginia, Western Grant and Western Pendleton Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 8 AM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

.10 overnight.

If you did not get rain today, no wet weather in sight over the next week. WB 18Z EPS:

Tropical forecasts fizzle out like our snow forecasts now... Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: 1. Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a limited amount of shower activity. Development of this system is not expected while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

For what it is worth, below is Jan. to March on the latest WB EURO seasonal.

Take the WB Euro seasonal with a big grain of salt. Below is August 1 forecast for September compared to Sept. 1 forecast for September.

Best rain in over a month.... .27

Pretty sparse late week rain chances on the WB 12Z globals.

Latest WB EURO weeklies for September. Looks like more perfect fall weather, although we need rain.

Pictures from preliminary WB Joe D'Aleo analysis; hope it's right!!!! I like the strategy of rooting for cold air and then see if we can time a low to move in while it's established. Note also WB is still watching the above normal water in the North Pacific to see what role (if it holds) it could play this winter.