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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Latest WB 12Z CFS; 5 day period ending February 11 is below average and it stays below average through March 5.
  2. Final burst of accumulating snow pushing through. What a nice wintry week!
  3. WB 12Z EPS, centered a day or two before and after February 1 there may be a small window of opportunity with temps near to below normal and a trough in the East.
  4. Sterling NWS in their discussion to be fair said low confidence but warning level snow possible. Being a govt employee I can tell you there is probably a metric that if they put up a Winter Storm Watch they have to have a certain confidence level and they are graded on the success rate of their watches. Being next to headquarters where all the bigwigs are makes it even harder for them.
  5. Exactly where the narrow band sets up TBD, but great to see the HRRR trending wetter. 0Z compared to 18Z. WB
  6. This is great, we CAN still have moderate cold, snowy events!!!!!
  7. WB 12Z EPS teleconnections look like they are heading the right way as we approach early February:
  8. 9 degrees waiting for the early train to DC in Brunswick....
  9. I am not being a pessimist just trying to set my expectations. MJO stalling in 7 late January is not good...hopefully we see a trend toward 8.
  10. So haven't looked at the extended EPS in awhile, does not good until mid February?
  11. I don't understand the negativity..... I mean the NJ people must be upset they are not getting the JB blizzard, I would be thrilled with another 3 inches or so before the February reload.
  12. WB 18Z EURO....total precip. Compared to 12Z drier.
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