Weather Will

WB 12Z GEFS couple of big hits for the "Day 10" potential.

It is going to be a very long month if we ( because I do it too) take anything too seriously beyond 5 days on the globals. They all do a poor job on details at that range.... let's see what EPS does...

Latest EPS MJO appears to finally want to move again through 7 toward 8.

WB 0Z EPS for the 5th. My big take: Great to see a potential snow storm on the east coast this early in February. Remember a week ago there was legitimate concern about how long it would take for the pattern to get cold enough again....

WB 18Z GEFS low positions, still a lot of spread but the only thing to track over the next week....

Everyone hates extended snow maps but when I see hits to the South and East I know at least it's not a shut the blinds pattern. WB 12Z GEFS.

Perhaps the biggest story of the last 2 months is the drought busting amount of precipitation. Another widespread inch plus on the way over the next couple of days.

Train ride home, the Potomac is shrouded in fog, really cool looking....

WB latest EPS extended snow mean

WB latest EURO weeklies

I saw pages commenting on the EURO extended control snow maps, here is the latest....WB

Where was the Advisory early this am?????? Crazy that NWS just issued this for Frederick. 1029 AM EST Thu Jan 25 2024 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in areas of dense fog. * WHERE...Frederick MD, Carroll, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Montgomery, Northwest Howard and Northwest Harford Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.

I don't think this amounts to much of anything for DMV, but as I said in an earlier post, it is nice to see that cold air is not too far away during our lull.

WB Day 11 GFS.... parade of storms with temps cooling ahead of schedule.... buckle up!!!!!

Patchy very dense fog on my trip to train station in Brunswick. Surprised no dense fog advisory for my area.

WB 6Z GFS...

WB 0Z GEFS, nice to see the continent cooling by the 9th.

WB 6Z GFS, always a good sign to see a little snow in the middle of our two week lull (Day 5-6).

According to DC NBC4, first time in 6 years that winter period has 9 days in a row of below normal temps.

WB EURO weeklies are less cold for Feb. 10-17 compared to 2 weeks ago, hopefully still cold enough.

WB 12Z EPS looks predominantly warm through February 6 at this time. Hopefully the few colder members will verify.

Yup...or maybe the low intensifies off the coast faster and makes it just cold enough, there is nothing else to watch the next week so I will keep an eye on it....better than whining about the warmth etc....

WB 0Z EPS, still watching Sunday-Monday period...

WB 18Z GEFS. Still keeping an eye on late next weekend...not dead yet...

I am going to remain optimistic for February. Looking at the GFS on the 6th, it may be above normal in Canada, but cold enough....edited to add WB 6Z GEFS.