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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Cold December is better than nothing...we should try to stay positive, especially with the prognosticators pessimism...who was calling for a cold December in October???? Anyone??? Lot of winter ahead of us.
  2. WB latest EPS weekly, cold and dry but we only need one widespread event to make most of us happy...
  3. WB 6Z GEFS throws out a few ensemble members with snow through the weekend period. Nothing else to track, so will watch for trends. (It is better than 0Z but one run is not a trend.)
  4. WB 6Z EURO and GFS Storm position for 10am Th.
  5. WB 18Z EURO. We need the rain. Be thankful.
  6. I will try to find you folks a 10% snow prob. Map at 0Z. Cone on everyone, we need cold first. The fact that it can still even get cold is a start. Actually cold and dry is a long time phenomenon here... the way it was for most of the 70s before global warming was a thing.
  7. Since November is locked, rain chances and snow chances 6Z GEFS through Saturday 30th. Mostly wet east of the mountains, but I will be thankful for the rain, we need it!
  8. Basically just a miserable, cold, windy day in SW Frederick County. But I'm weird and I loved it. Perhaps this truly is the first sign of a real pattern change from warm and dry....
  9. Big story of the day for most of us is that it will be cold, it will feel like winter. If I get some tv snow, that is icing on the cake. WB 6Z GFS.
  10. WB 0Z ensemble prob of 3 inches or more....
  11. WB latest Weekly control, December to remember
  12. The Thanksgiving wave looks too warm, but some of the members of EPS are picking up on a wave after the Thanksgiving weekend...wouldn't throw in the towel yet....WB 0Z EPS.
  13. WB 0Z EPS today compared to yesterday....will keep tracking for early December.
  14. That is fair, lot of cold around the first....WB 12Z EPS.
  15. WB 12Z EPS....about half the members have it cold in the eastern part of the country in early December. Hope they are correct.
  16. WB 18Z GEFS looks much better than the GFS, but still not cold enough.
  17. Good news is that the WB 18Z GFS still has the mountain snow for late week...
  18. WB 18Z GFS in long range...it is just one run at range, but we just can't underestimate the SER anymore...models just can't handle it.
  19. WB 12Z GFS....from the fantasy storm at range.
  20. Through the end of the month looks like boring weather east of the mountains. Decent chance of mountain snow the end of the upcoming week with a brief cold shot. Cooler weather potentially again as we go into early December. WB 0Z EPS.
  21. At least I am not getting 6 hours of virga like the last nonevent. Steady light rain falling in SW Frederick county. Glad I raked in the dark after work last night...
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