Weather Will

WB 12Z GFS....from the fantasy storm at range.

WB 12Z GFS at Day 5-6....

Through the end of the month looks like boring weather east of the mountains. Decent chance of mountain snow the end of the upcoming week with a brief cold shot. Cooler weather potentially again as we go into early December. WB 0Z EPS.

At least I am not getting 6 hours of virga like the last nonevent. Steady light rain falling in SW Frederick county. Glad I raked in the dark after work last night...

Light rain is starting

WB 12Z 3K NAM compared to 12Z yesterday. Good thing this is not a snowstorm....

Ensembles do have a couple of hits if you are dreaming of a white Thanksgiving...I will post them here if I start seeing more than a couple....oh well the digital snow police can have their cow...WB 18Z GEFS and 12Z EPS.

WB 6Z 3K NAM...welcome rain by Th. Evening...

WB 18Z EURO....feel this is going to be a tough winter to forecast....if this were snow there would be wailing and gnashing of teeth.

WB 18Z EURO...nice shift NE in precip shield for late TH. compared to 12Z. Can it rain twice in a week?

Yah, if I get the 20-28 inches he is forecasting around Frederick will be very happy!

WB 6Z 3K NAM...,maybe my annuals will finally be toast as of Wed. Am.

.11

Both WB global controls have snow for mid December in latest run....

After my last post, it is finally raining hard enough to hear it!!! Baby steps...

Definitely an underperforming event... few light rain showers, just enough to dampen the sidewalk...note to self...inside 24 hours go with NAM 3K totals which have been consistently lower than the globals. Guess it is a warmup for the winter.

Hoping for enough rain that I don't have to water in the fertilizer I put down...

Lot of virga with first batch of rain, few sprinkles...

WB 18Z GFS and EURO..bring the rain!!!

WB 18Z GFS....hopefully enough rain to tamp down the fire threat is on the way for Sunday...

December will be rocking....WB GEFS control

Trip to the southern Rockies....it can still snow. WB 6Z EUR0.

NWS Sterling for Sunday rain event and 6Z GFS. A slow moving compact upper low is set to push across the Upper Great Lakes on Sunday before crossing through New England on Monday. The associated frontal system brings the next shot for widespread rainfall on Sunday. It should certainly be a welcome sight given the lengthy period of dry weather and increasing drought conditions over portions of the area. Periods of rain are likely within the warm advection regime with total amounts expected in the 0.25 to 0.50 inch range, locally higher over the Alleghenies. Overcast skies will be the norm on Sunday, accompanied by highs fairly close to early November averages. That is, forecast highs in the mid 50s to low 60s. Any shower activity likely comes to an end by midday Monday behind the exiting cold front

WB 0Z globals precip totals thru Monday. Hopefully this at least ends the historically dry stretch...

WB 6Z GFS and GEFS for Sunday/early Monday. Can we finally get some widespread rain????