Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 6Z 3K NAM
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WB EPS December 3rd control run is better....I agree with the general premise: give us cold air and at least we can say it feels like winter. and we have a chance to luck into a snow storm.
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WB 6Z 3K NAM.... take what we can get. Enjoy the Thursday flizzard....
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JB posted this map. In a video stated this forecasting method worked last year. He acknowledges no forecast of wind reversal at 10MB at this time.
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With our December snow chances on life support, WB's JB sees a stratwarm later this month that will cause an arctic outbreak in mid January...
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Few slow flurries in Brunswick... not sticking but flurries/ light snow continuing...wintry day!!!
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Watch the MJO as we go through December. Quicker it passes through warm phase 6 the better....
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Weather story this week is the sustained cold period....at least it will feel like winter...(WB 0Z EURO)
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Cold day for the end of November.... baby steps...
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WB SST....ocean anomalies mean a perfect track storm can still be warm unfortunately...
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Not saying one run of the EURO is correct, I just said the Euro 12Z suite looked cold and dry.
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Both.
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I see why no one talked about the 12Z EURO suite...dry and cold....
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Lot of misses on GEFS and with the globals too warm on their latest runs not high confidence but we are in the stadium. Not shut the blinds like most Decembers.
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WB 6Z GEFS, couple of these 9 hits would even make Ji happy....
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Looking at the WB latest EPS weeklies, if I had to guess, it will get milder later this month, but pattern may reload in mid January....not a torch period but seasonable on average. Seven day snow mean for the mid December to mid January period is highest after the holidays...
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WB 0Z EPS shows cold and warm members as we head to mid month. While the control is off the charts negative with the PNA, there is more variability among individual members.
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We really are in rare air around here....been a long time since all the members at Day 6 are cold....WB 18Z EPS.
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WB 18Z EURO, sneaky, colder version of a light snow event on Wed.?
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WB 12Z EPS...week of the 8th, let's do this!!! Gobble, gobble!!!
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This is where we should all head.. 28 2024 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations 3 to 4 feet in the most persistent lake snows. The highest snow accumulations are expected between Watertown and the northern slopes of the Tug Hill plateau. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. * WHEN...From 7 AM Friday to 7 PM EST Monday.
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Much needed rain falling, never seen the Potomac so low for this time of year...
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WB 6Z GEFS....does not support the 300 hour GFS fantasy range map. I have been fooled too many times by GFS at Day 5....looking at the GFS at day 12 is just setting one up for disappointment.
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WB latest GEFS control....can't make this stuff up....snow drought monster
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WB 18Z 3K NAM. Rainy day still on tap for Thursday.
