Weather Will

May the force be with us!

Quick look at the 6z and not sure why there is so much negativity. It is not going to be much above normal the next two weeks, there is a lot if cold air lurking to the North, and most importantly to me an active storm track. Any snow In December is bonus snow...let it play out!

Biggest Metro snow in my lifetime was Veterans Day, November 11, 1987. About a foot fell in thundersnow in less than 6 hours. A 20 minute drive from University of Maryland, College Park to Greenbelt took me 4 hours with cars abandoned everywhere. No one predicted it! I always start tracking around this date.

So on my train ride to DC from Brunswick, Point of Rocks the ground is white. Barnesville the ground is patchy white dusting at best. Nothing in Germantown, south.

About 2 inches of slop in Brunswick. Shoveled last night and now a thin layer of ice in everything. Careful walking in Frederick area this am!

Mixed with sleet again in Brunswick. Messy icy mix

Patience not one of my virtues, but it is turned into a winter wonderland in Brunswick....everything snow covered. Maybe couple of inches now. I am happy.

Perhaps an expert can explain it, but it appears the horrible severe weather in the south is robbing us of the ripping rates necessary for any kind of a winter storm here....

In last 15 minutes, everything but streets now have light dusting, 36, Brunswick

Light snow, 37. Finally tiny pellets of ice on mulch. Brunswick

Light white rain falling, not sticking to anything, 38, Brunswick

Flurries, 39, Brunswick

It is going to take ripping rates between the toasty temps and solar radiation to be any kind of road issues. It should be pretty though...not picky in March!

Flurries in Brunswick.

3k NAM 12z. It very accurately predicted last nights no show snow. I would hug it and hope

3k looks a tick South, but still looks to be 6-10 inch event for NW VA, Frederick, northern Montgomery, Western Howard, Carroll, North Balt County NE, does not look like the cities get much...

Looks like snow from 10am until about 1 am Mon. in 3k. Mostly snow Frederick, extreme northern Mont., western Howard, north and northeastward.

I meant weather man expert..

Could a man expert chime in here? 12k looks sheared or has a double center going on after ;8 hours. Precip shield looks weird or am I just tired?

Snow accumulation at 8ET Sunday (Mostly from Sunday storm as 3k does not give much tonight.)

About 2-3 hours of rain the snow line begins to shift east on 3K through Frederick/Carroll County into extreme NVA.

Why are the snow depth maps further SE on the 12K at 18z compared to 12Z? More sleet?

NAM 3K Snow map which includes tonight through 7ET. (12z run)

No, it is the 850 line. Wintry precip should be falling NW of that line 7pm Sunday (form will vary depending if all levels are 0 celsius or lower.)

I do feel the pain of those 30-50 miles to the East on this one. (It is not a given that anyone east of the Appalachians and south of the MD line is getting anything yet.) I spent my first 30 years living east of the Capital Beltway. A slight shift SE is still possible with this one for various reason already posted. I have one stupid question. Do the models take into account forecasted snow fall when predicting air temperatures? What I'm asking is whether the 2 inches tonight in the Northern tier could factor into surface temperatures Saturday and Sunday.