I am confused about MJO phases. Is there a good link anyone has? I thought Phase 1 was ok, but apparently it is warm in February at least with a La Niña..That is where he thinks we are headed the first two weeks of February.
Models are all over the place. At the point of taking just one week at a time, and if there is nothing there focus on something else, like doing my taxes....
Just trying to keep expectations in check so people aren't disappointed. The globals are really worthless outside Day 5. Ensembles are ok through Day 10. Just nothing screaming snow storm incoming right now. Hopefully that will change over the next week...