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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    GEFS 18z Hug the 5 percent chance for next weekend in P20.
  2. Weather Will
    I like the probability maps because they are useful in seeing trends when viewed over several runs. I use the 3 inch or more to get rid of the noise of the members showing a dusting. The reality is that there is 0 percent chance of snow before next weekend. No map of any kind will change that reality.
  3. Weather Will
    EPS WB 12Z still Dr. No through the 2nd.
  4. Weather Will
    WB GEFS 12z. Most if this 3 inch or more probability is after DAY 7 in DMV.
  5. Weather Will
    Light snow/sleet mix Brunswick 28
  6. Weather Will
    Next batch according to WB 6z EURO.
  7. Weather Will
    Nothing in Brunswick.
  8. Weather Will
    It is only one run, but the ICON was never a fan of this weekend’s storm, so this makes me take notice.
  9. Weather Will
    Looked at the EURO 0z and the 6z 3k NAM and going back to sleep. Looking like not much of anything.
  10. Weather Will
    WB 3k NAM Sleet/freezing rain signing off...GN
  11. Weather Will
    WB 0z 3k NAM at 19z snowfall
  12. Weather Will
    3k NAM WB 0Z at 13z
  13. Weather Will
    Thanks for the positive vibe. We need it. Perhaps the mood will improve with a wintry scene tomorrow.
  14. Weather Will
    Unfortunately, this suns up the the long range rather sadly. 18Z GFS WB prob of 3 inches or more thru DAY forever (16)
  15. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GFS Winter Precip maps.
  16. Weather Will
    18Z 3K NAM WB Winter Precip
  17. Weather Will
    EURO had less snow but more sleet and freezing rain than GFS. The mesoscale models basically have little precipitation of any kind.
  18. Weather Will
    E EURO and GFS are on the same page. Mesoscale models like NAM and RGEM are not buying the event.
  19. Weather Will
    I notice the RGEM is not enthusiastic either so seems like a red flag.
  20. Weather Will
    So do the mesoscale models have a track record of forecasting lift better than the globals?
  21. Weather Will
    You may be right. But I got up at 345 to catch a train that is now an hour late because of a tree blown down on the track so I decided to look at the maps.
  22. Weather Will
    So my question to the experts is whether the NAM is a red flag that the dry cold air will make this a nonevent?
  23. Weather Will
    NWS Official Maps
  24. Weather Will
    6z WB GFS precip maps. Still shows icy mess for North and West suburbs of DC. Still NE MD bullseye of light snow accumulation before changeover to ice there.
  25. Weather Will
    3k WB 6z NAM says enjoy a couple showers, sleet pellets and flurries. Moisture starved.
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