Weather Will

WB 6z EPS Control...(Mean is not as good.) for the weekend. Only about 20-25% of individual members on Board.....stay tuned. We are still 4.5 days out. That means 70-75% chance of another disaster.

I did...see above

WB 6Z GEFS for weekend....increasing chance of snow. Let’s hope it holds or increases more through today’s runs.

I don’t see any prohibition as long as it is not for commercial use. I would presume moderators would tell me if it was inappropriate or WB would send me a nastigram.

WB 6Z GFS trending toward EURO for weekend which is good!

WB 6Z 12K NAM gives significant icing overnight Wed,. To NW areas.

WB 0z EPS 3 inch or more prob map thru Day 15. Best it has looked in awhile.

WB 0z EPS for weekend. Still only weak support. You can do the math since I get so much grief for it...

WB 0z EURO for weekend...

WB 18z EPS everyone hug 45 GN

It is very scenic, but far out.....

18Z EURO thru early Friday no frozen precipitation

Yes it is. I currently work in DC and live in Brunswick. I see the rain/snow line on the train rides.

I can say emphatically that I have seen on numerous occasions bare pavement and nothing on Capital Hill in DC and several inches in the nearby suburbs outside the Beltway with the same storm. If it snows an inch outside the Beltway as depicted I am skeptical the inside the Beltway crowd see anything.

Agreed, but do you really think that inch is going to accumulate on ground this warm? It is not realistic.

I set the bar higher on the probability posts by looking at 3 inches or more. Think it is too optimistic to use the one inch maps which inflates the probability. 15 of the 20 or 75% show some “frozen” but who cares if you have to get out the microscope to measure it in real life.

WB 18z GEFS for the weekend. About 6 or 30% look nice for NW zones.

WB 12z EPZ Snow Probs. No real changes in probabilities still. Day 10 plus. One casual observation is that the probs are now increasing to our SW....I like that.

Yup....next.

WB 12Z EURO brings spotty freezing rain to MD PA border Wed. night. (slightly colder than 0Z.)

WB 12Z Canadian/Canadian Ens. This weekend.

GFS WB 12Z for Saturday Night/Sunday am; GEFS.

Exactly.... you can’t get your hopes up unless those probabilities start going up inside of 10 days. Think of it like a coin toss. I can toss it a 100 times but my chances of getting heads is always 50% with every toss. Our probability of snow over a two week period as stated in previous posts is usually a certain percentage....your antennae should go up when the percentage goes above the average and when we are getting into the shorter ranges. Probability maps are just a quick and dirty way to see if our snow chances are trending better, worse, or about the same.

WB 6z GEFS. Starts to show snow chances increasing Day 7 on. Maybe we will have some storms to track by the end of this work week.

WB EPS has only 10-20 percent of snow 3 inches or more for this weekend. 10 day plus is more enthusiastic, but that is 10 Day plus again...