Weather Will

Reality for Wed. Is that any accumulating snow will be likely confined to WV, far western MD and the Blue Ridge and perhaps tv snow for other parts of Northern Md and far NW suburbs of DC. 6z NAM is the most generous I have seen east of the mountains. Been tracking this forever it seems so would be happy with a few flakes as I start my hump day this week.

WB 0Z NAM.

18z GEFS

WB 18z EURO

WB 12Z EURO midweek. Not much to write about for Wed. Am. But my bar is also to see one flake.

WB 12Z EURO. Good rains moving in tomorrow night. Bands of 1-2 inches especially DC Northward.

Canadian also shows minor flakes.

WB 12z GEFS.

WB 18z GEFS.

WB 12Z EURO. Temps are 2-4 degrees cooler Wed. morning compared to 0Z.

WB EPS at 6Z has the moisture but not cold enough.

WB 6Z GEFS still has some hits also for middle of next week.

EURO says some snow tv possible Wed. Am. EPS provides some support. GFS says nothing at 6Z.

WB 18z EPS. Perhaps the biggest story may be highs 20 degrees below normal middle of next week.

I will switch to tropical storm probability maps by June.....

WB 12Z EURO Midweek low is out to sea. EPS still 10-20 percent, but less than 0Z. Watch it a few more days. My bar is low. If it is going to be cold, it might as well look like it.

WB 12Z GEFS thru Day 7.

Long shot flakes focusing on Day 6-7 wave on EURO, EPS, EPS control and GEFS.

WB GEFS 18Z at Day 8.

WB 12z EPS and GEFS thru Day 8. Still a long shot.

Lightning detector which I forgot to turn off kept going off so I looked at the extended. Still tracking my last chance of flakes. EPS and GEFS still have a couple hits but think storm track on this not set in stone until after Monday ‘s rain storm.

Most snow in April. Source: NWS April DC Baltimore Dulles 5.5" 1924 9.4" 1924 4.0" 1990 4.0" 1889 5.0" 1894 2.6" 1982 3.5" 1915 5.0" 1916 2.5" 1996 3.0" 1918 4.5" 1915 1.0" 1973 2.0" 1894 3.0" 1917 0.6" 1964

DC Baltimore Dulles 0.5" Apr 28, 1898 0.1" Apr 28, 1898 1.0" Apr 12, 1973 Latest measurable snow. Source: NWS

Look the chances are under 10 percent for a once in a hundred year event in mid April for late next week, but both EURO and GFS have it. At least for six more hours, something to track other than the virus.