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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. At 18Z looks like low tracked further south on both the ICON and the GFS (WB).
  2. WB 12Z NAM, watching the trends on the confluence shifting NE. Hour 84 at 12Z compared to hour 78 at 18Z. Continues to tick NE a little faster which is good.
  3. One thing about this potential storm that is really impressing me is that we have 3 days preceding the storm to chill the ground again, and Monday temps will stay below freezing. Every flake will stick and even treated roads will quickly cave. Been awhile since we have that forecast scenario.
  4. Refresh my memory on when we should stop looking at ensembles.... I generally would stop leaning on them inside five days.
  5. WB 6Z GFS. Snow breaks out SW to NE during Monday am. No mixing. Surface temps hover around freezing mid afternoon but fall back into the 20s by early evening. Nice moderate event!
  6. Of course none of these models matter unless the King confirms.
  7. WB 0Z GFS is further north with vorticity at 117 compared to 18Z.
  8. 6Z WB AI actually went a little south this run compared to 0Z but still not sheared.
  9. Nice way to start the 0Z suite, getting to the point where we need it to start trending in the right direction on the globals.
  10. Shocking development! Just seeing that myself. Still deciding on whether to put out my heat mats before Monday....
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