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Weather Will

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  1. NWS 4am discussion. The high to our north will migrate eastward over the Northeast Sunday night as zonal flow aloft deteriorates and a shortwave trough digs into the Ohio Valley. Come Monday morning, surface low pressure will develop near the North Carolina coast, tracking north northeast throughout the day. The resultant weather locally will be precipitation breaking out overnight Sunday and lingering through much of the day on Monday. With the high to our northeast helping to supply chilly conditions, wintry precip concerns emerge for our Blue Ridge westward zones late Sunday night and into the day on Monday. Ensemble guidance continues to indicate the potential for accumulating snowfall across portions of northern and western Maryland, eastern West Virginia, and western Virginia. Will iron out the finer details in the coming days, but model consistency does bring confidence in at least a slight winter storm threat for accumulating snowfall in the areas noted above.
  2. WB 0Z EURO. Snow under 5 days for NW burbs.
  3. Agreed. Hug the WB 0Z Canadian!!!
  4. WB 18Z GEFS is going the wrong direction.
  5. WB 12Z EPS. Not dead yet for early next week for NW burbs but we have not trended in the right direction under 6 days all winter it seems.
  6. WB Canadian actually similar to GFS but SW.; EURO is Dr. No.
  7. WB 12Z GEFS some support for operational under 7 days.
  8. WB GFS at 6 days out is not fantasy range...
  9. WB 0Z EPS: 11/50 or a little over 20% bring snow to the NW burbs. Just the facts, not sure I am rooting for it at this point. But tracking the chances takes your mind off of tracking the virus.
  10. 18Z EPS and control through end of March...one thing to watch is whether the NAO will trend more negative which could help our last gasp chances.
  11. Sleet mixed in with rain in Brunswick as well.
  12. WB 12Z EURO. EPS not quite out that far yet. Edit: only 4/5 members support operational at this point.
  13. WB 6z....trend north stopped for now. Surface temps actually cooler than 0Z, but less precipitation. GEFS support at 18Z yesterday has evaporated.
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