Weather Will

29 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

How did it cave? It's but another op run, and the same idea is there. Still a snow-ice to rain deal. A bit less of a front end thump this time. 

That is all I meant.  Still looks like we flip to a colder stormier pattern Next weekend.    That does not guarantee snow storms but puts us back in the game.  There is strong consensus in the modeling that there are No threats before MLK weekend.  Enjoy the Outdoors this weekend.  Might turn back on the water and wash the car.  That will guarantee bad weather next weekend!

Euro 0z and GFS 6z are north for MLK weekend storm threat.  Hopefully not a trend in the wrong direction.  Will check GEFS when it comes out.

6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

If the small possibility of cold/dry in 15 days is too much to bear for you, you could always just look at the 18z GFS for next weekend.  You'll feel better.

Agreed.  Threat about 9 days away now....all you can ask for is a chance....there are no guarantees nine days out even if all of the indices line up.

I would rather have cold and dry then wet and warm.  Let the chips fall where they may.  A little luck is needed.  Don't think the models factor that in yet, which is why this hobby is fun.

11 minutes ago, Scraff said:

6z GFS advertising some nice signs. Our future is starting to look bright. Hopefully bright white! 

Still must be dreaming on my way to work...WB GFS Clown Map Day 13....everyone can be happy for 6 hours.

Brunswick- home about 2.5 inches.  Streets a little slushy.  Nice start to the year.  Very light snow about over.

Brunswick line at Barnesville

 On way to Barnesville:  ground covered.  Very scenic. Makes the almost 3 hour commute today home worth while.

Brunswick line: Boyds: parking lot starting to cave in moderate snow

Brunswick line: Germantown: Light snow/ dusting on grass/ cars/roofs.  Finally looks like winter!  Sidewalks starting to cave.

Brunswick line: Gaithersburg:  light snow/ light accumulation on grass/ rooftops/ cars.

Brunswick line: as i head North of Rockville, some light accumulation on trees and parked cars.

Brunswick Line: Rockville: looks like mostly snow but no accumulation.

Brunswick Line: Garrett Park: rain/snow mix

Brunswick Line Silver Spring:  rain but coming down harder.

Light rain outside the rail yard, Union Station, DC

Light drizzle in DC....let out 4 hours early for the Blizzard   Will give window reports as I head toward Brunswick.

NWS call this am seems very reasonable.

Brunswick 29/16.  It will be fun taking the 4:25 train home from DC,

WB 3k NAM 6 Z. Things did not fall apart overnight.  Models stayed the course for the first snowfall of the new decade.

NWS is not buying it if you look at their snow maps issued before 18Z even looking at the 10 percent map.

WB 12k NAM..... happy hour!

WB 12Z EURO...

41 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

No euro map for comparison?

WB EURO 0Z....6Z not out yet

Overnight EPS still seems to be showing a chance for snowiness In the 18th-20th period in our sea of warmth.