Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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We all need to write Uccellini and get them to speed up the replacement of the NAM.... let’s see, it overstates QPF, it’s too warm, it”s too cold and clueless outside 2 hours. We should not pay the bill for the electricity to run this model!!! But you got to love the 50 inches!!!
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WB 3k NAM, actually if this verifies a lot of people will be happy and roofs will be collapsing in N. MD
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10pm heading back SE 925/850/surface....please someone explain why it does not snow when all thes levels are below freezing west of 95? What don’t I understand?
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7pm 925/850
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4pm
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WB 1pm Wed NAM tick colder
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If the low does go due north up the Bay that is too close for comfort. 20- 30 miles east would make a big difference. May be an hour by hour outcast Late Wed. Afternoon/evening. We are only 48 hours out, but we are still 48 hours out....another 30 miles west track no one will be happy east of the Blue Ridge or in Northern MD. 2020 has proven anything is possible.
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WB 18Z EURO. Held steady in my nonexpert opinion. Critical time period is 7-10 pm Wed. How far North does the rain/snow line get???
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WB 12z Euro close up
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It is impossible to know if you are getting 3, 6, 9 hours etc of mix v snow 48 hours out. I am ecstatic that the DC NW crowd is in the game to get anything before Christmas. Most years we do not.
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Can someone explain why the temps look below freezing at all levels but the surface maps depict freezing rain/ sleet?
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One of the experts a couple of days ago said the algorithms will have trouble distinguishing between mix/ snow when there is intense precipitation and marginal temps. WB NAM may have that issue.
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WB 12Z NAM 7pm Wed. Also cooler compared to 6Z. And falls SE of DC by 10 pm
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WB 12Z NAM 925 MB slightly cooler at 1pm Wed. Compared to 6Z
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6Z GEFS mean low locations does not support NAM.
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WB 6Z GFS surface temps upper 30s inside Beltway 8pm
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WB 6Z GFS 925 7pm, 10 pm
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WB 6z GFS snow map did tick NW around DC due to mixing/rain 7pm-10pm
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WB 6Z GFS, 925 did tick NW at Wed 7pm
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Busy work week before the holidays..GN... NAM is NAM. Hope GFS holds..
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WB 0z NAM snow totals
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10 pm, ( 7pm won’t show but it is warm)
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4 pm
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WB 0Z NAM 1pm Wed
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NWS indicated NOAA plane would be doing synoptic flights for the storm. Will that data be in 0z or is this for tomorrow sometime?
