Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB GEFS 18Z. Prob. Map is laughing at us literally.
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Little WB Oz GEFS or EPS support yet for the GFS 0z Day 13 deterministic run.
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10 percent of 12z EPS members look good for this time period.... two weeks to see if that improves. Maps if we hit 30 percent or more.
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WB 6z GEFS thru Day 16, nothing through this week.
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WB 0Z EPS Control Day 13, March 6-7...placing all my remaining chips on the roulette wheel...only a weak EPS signal in the Day 9-15 period, about 10 percent heavy hitters. Enough for me to keep looking at the model runs for any trendsetters in the last three weeks or so of tracking.
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Glutton for punishment. WB 18Z GEFS. All Day 10 plus.
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12Z EPS says see you next year. Too depressing to post any maps. I will have to start looking at hurricane probability maps as requested....
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WB 12Z GEFS actually the snow maps look better today than yesterday Trend or blip TBD.
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Informative albeit depressing article in the Washington Post on the snowless winter: https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/02/20/year-has-passed-since-washingtons-last-inch-snow/ to date.
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WB 12Z GEFS. I won't give up until the end of the first week of March...however, I am starting to look forward to my first beach trip in June.
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Still looks like the periods to watch are February 27-28, and March 3-5. Long shots at best but from two weeks out I don’t remember a strong signal for the NC event that is occurring tomorrow. We will need some luck. Party never got started but it is over in about 4 weeks so we track the crumbs that the weather gods have handed us this year.
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WB 6z GEFS for first week of March. Perhaps the last chance still showing some life.
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WB 6z 3k NAM/ GFS
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WB 6Z GEFS only one Member liking end of next week.
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Thank you both. Thought you meant on my computers!!! I thought I was being punished for posting prob maps.
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Oz EPS still gives a little hope for the period February 27- March 5 with two systems. Can’t post maps anymore with this new .01MB limit.
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12Z GEFS. This is all Day 10 plus for us.
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WB 12Z 3K NAM...good luck southern folks! It will be a coup for the NAM if correct. ICON at 12Z is third of this in a much smaller area in east central NC, VA border.
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6Z WB GEFS
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Unrelated to weather, but perhaps I have been banned. I can't upload maps anymore. Something about file size. Anyone tell me where to go for instructions or what to do?
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WB EPS signals a chance small 20% or less chances starting late next week into the first week of March. The control also has a storm for early March.
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WB 12Z GEFS.....period to watch remains end of February into the first week of March. (The only area showing prob. before then is around SE VA for late this week.
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WB 6z EURO. No snow this work week. T minus about 4 weeks and counting.
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I would argue that the prob snow maps have been accurate. They have never trended above 50% for 3 inches or more all winter inside of five days and it has not snowed. During the 15 day ensemble period still no high probs of snow. I completely agree that snow maps don’t tell us anything about the pattern itself.
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Hug WB 6z GEFS P3 for 6 hours for long range hope.
