WB 18Z EURO: impressive vortex heading east but I don't know how it is going to be cold enough by the time it gets here unless the track is perfect. Also noticed no 50-50 low this run which makes it even harder.
With marginal temps, we will need a near perfect track. Compare low positions for the snowy ICON and GFS compared to the rainy EURO and Can. WB 0Z Mon.
Completely agree. See my comments in their thread. Before 12Z most of them with all their technical skill were dismissing the threat. We will see what the experts think now.
Being 7 plus days out, we really need to see what the ensembles say at 12Z. We gotta keep up with the technical people in the expert thread since they really know what the hell is going on....
General comment: the way non experts like myself learn is for these posts to be integrated into the broader discussion. Having expert analysis is great only if it is easily accessible. The ivory tower approach taken here has a chilling effect on the entire forum.
It is a red flag that the EURO AI never got above 30-40% with big hits and EURO is the usual Dr. No.
Agree that we are still a few days from knowing....and there is always our March miracle blizzard Hail Mary to pad our totals.