Back to looking for cold air. WB 0Z CFS gives sustained cold starting the period after January 20 through February 20 (with the peak of the cold in the first part of February). EPS also has the EPO going negative at the end of its run around the 20th, We will see but our winter chances are not over yet….
WB 12Z EURO has it figured out all right….what is bad about the EURO is its complete lack of cold air/confluence. If that is correct, the track does not matter.
I fall for this too, but as we keep saying OPS outside 5 days may give hints of macro weather: stormy, mild, cold etc. but not specifics. If the EURO showed a blizzard this run it would be fools gold for 6 hours…