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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GEFS…at least January temps look to be in the cards next week, with some snow chances increasing
  2. Weather Will
    First hard rain showers in over a month. Wish it were snow, but we really need the rain.
  3. Weather Will
    You also have to like the West coast ridge building late in the WB EPS period. First time I have seen that in a long time.
  4. Weather Will
    WB EPS probs for one inch and 3 inches. Couple of the ensembles give us snow on snow in the 10- 15 day period.
  5. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GFS Fantasy Storm late first week in January… BELIEVE!!!! Merry Christmas!!!
  6. Weather Will
    WB 12Z EPS.
  7. Weather Will
    1 in 30 chance of a snowstorm over the next 11 days according to WB 12Z GEFS.
  8. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GEFS…. First full week of January hopefully will be tracking something other than 60 degree temps…
  9. Weather Will
    AO, WPO, EPO and the NAO are heading back to neutral in 2022 looking at the latest teleconnection charts while the PNA remains negative. Not what we want for a major pattern change. it is also never a good sign when I think for the first time ever JB mentioned climate change as he expressed some frustration that the pattern is not responding to the analogs.
  10. Weather Will
    WB latest Extended GEFS and Control…
  11. Weather Will
  12. Weather Will
    Watching the Ravens lose…
  13. Weather Will
    I want to see it, just don’t see solid evidence in the models yet that it is going to happen. I guess we will know in a couple of weeks. Hopefully, we will have something to track by the end of the NY’s weekend.
  14. Weather Will
    Let see what the EURO ensembles show, but I would love to see a better sign of a major pattern change within the next 2 weeks. There was never a guarantee of a storm, but it would be nice to get a window of opportunity in January. I don’t see it yet.
  15. Weather Will
    WB 12Z Can ensembles are more encouraging..
  16. Weather Will
    WB 12Z GEFS thru day 16 does not show cold air pressing
  17. Weather Will
    Doesn’t seem very positive to be talking about the end of the major pattern to more wintry weather before it even gets started. But if the WB GEFS extended control from last evening which now goes through Jan 22 were to verify, most of us would see January as a good month.
  18. Weather Will
    WB 12Z EPS…patient I must be….but some hope
  19. Weather Will
    WB 6Z EPS, verbatim dry seasonably cool week ahead.
  20. Weather Will
    Sorry to be a pessimistic, as you all know, I want it to snow, but the sad reality is the warmest and least snowy model has been winning out lately. And there are signs that this pattern change if it ever happens is delayed again. Wasn’t it just last week that the consensus was after Christmas, now it’s after NY; I am now going to be a believer when it looks like it is inside 5 days.
  21. Weather Will
    WB 0Z EURO control has no cold air in sight. May have to start facing reality here…
  22. Weather Will
    WB GEFS continues to push back the timing and intensity of the advertised cold.
  23. Weather Will
    6Z GFS says winter is still on hold. I guess another two weeks of patience is needed. Looking back to Thanksgiving, there was a subset of meteorologists that thought the pattern to colder weather would have happened by now. I won’t say Lucy is holding the football for Charlie Brown yet, but if we get to NYE weekend and we are punting another 2 weeks, I will become skeptical of this pattern change.
  24. Weather Will
    MJO rotates through 7 much slower on the EURO. GFS has been faster. At least we may have things to keep half an eye on starting next week. I have barely seen a sprinkle in weeks!
  25. Weather Will
    WB 12Z GFS…. 6 more hours to BELIEVE!!!
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