Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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I would say the GEFS would be a complete failure if the GFS ends up being 100 percent right with its current solution.
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WB 0Z GEFS
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WB GEFS about the same at 96 as it was at 18Z
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WB OZ GFS
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Perhaps but a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush!!!
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WB 18Z EURO control is a lot like the GFS.
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Not the best run of EPS. The reason for the lower snow mean. Is not because of a west track but rather a lot of weak lows or misses, thus the lower precipitation total means compared to WB 12Z EPS
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WB EURO HR 90
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WB 18Z GFS yesterday compared to today. Who knows what it will be like by 18Z tomorrow…
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These look great! Work was killing me today!
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132
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126
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WB GFS Hr 120
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WB GFS Hr 114
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WB GFS Hr 108
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WB GFS Hr 102
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WB GFS Hr 96
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WB GFS Hr 90
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Such a wild swing over the last 24 hours….I am sure this is going to shift over the next 5 days. We don’t have a trend yet, but big storms are sniffed out early and the EURO is now on board with the other global models. I take that as a win at 12Z. Hopefully that is optimistic enough!
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WB 12Z EURO definitely shifted in the right direction v 0Z.
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WB 12Z Can ensemble
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WB 6Z EURO Control also took a step toward GFS.
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Yes!!! 6Z GFS compared to 6Z EPS…
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It would be nice to see other models pivot toward the GFS current solution today and to see ensembles show some support. Like a lot of our setups, until we get into the short range, it could go either way. At least with cold air around we are in the ballpark.
