Weather Will

9Z WB HRRR 5pm

6z WB GFS.

7Z WB HRRR still looks good. One of them is wrong! Or maybe the truth is a blend...

NAM is horrible.

WB 6Z NAM is bad...total precip down too...basically cancels storm east of mountains and south of MD state line with PA. I will hug the HRRR.

Noticing that???? Does that make sense?

WB 6Z NAM...going to be an interesting day tracking the low. Noticeable shift east in low position,

You have to subtract out the heavy sleet. The three maps are not cumulative.

WB 6Z HRRR

WB EURO low position did shift east slightly compared to 18Z.

WB EURO storm totals. Subtract other frozen/ liquid from snow map.

WB 0Z EURO 7pm. Warmest panel.

WB 4Z HRRR at 5pm. You need to subtract sleet from the snow totals.

Sure. Should show the surface temps too. I’m afraid anywhere DC proper SE is literally toast. I’m sorry.

I picked the worst panel for each level. Between 7-10pm. WB

If I get 6 inches I will be ecstatIc....

WB 18Z EURO. Lower snowfall rates in areas that also show sleet/ freezing rain.

Subtract big time in areas that show sleet and freezing rain. WB GFS

The latest snow map does not line up with their watches and warnings, so i think there was just a glitch...the snow map is not changed from last night.

GM, I see the NAM is longer calling for 50 inches along the MD/Pa line. All joking aside, to clarify my email last night about the NAMs performance and subsequent NWS remarks which appear to indicate that my point was misconstrued after I signed off. I am a strong advocate of fully funding the dedicated and hard working federal employees at NWS. Especially with the weather more volatile then ever, it is critical that they have adequate resources to meet their mission to protect the public. As a manager in the federal government at another Agency, I can state without question that adequate funding is critical to providing the best possible service to the taxpayers of this country.

Yes. The NAM should be replaced before 2024.

We all need to write Uccellini and get them to speed up the replacement of the NAM.... let’s see, it overstates QPF, it’s too warm, it”s too cold and clueless outside 2 hours. We should not pay the bill for the electricity to run this model!!! But you got to love the 50 inches!!!

WB 3k NAM, actually if this verifies a lot of people will be happy and roofs will be collapsing in N. MD

10pm heading back SE 925/850/surface....please someone explain why it does not snow when all thes levels are below freezing west of 95? What don’t I understand?