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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    One thing in our favor is the MJO. First time it forecasted to go into more favorable phases and held. There were a lot of skepticism two weeks ago…
  2. Weather Will
    And which model do you think will cave? WB 6Z GFS compared to 0Z Euro
  3. Weather Will
    It will be interesting to see as we get closer to next weekend if we see a stronger response in the modeling to the significant change in the MJO.
  4. Weather Will
    Does anyone know how well the globals incorporate forecasted MJO values? Or do they just use the initial values. We are just pulling out of the null into 7 which is still warm, how well does the modeling “see” that we are heading into 8/1?
  5. Weather Will
    March 16
  6. Weather Will
    March 10.
  7. Weather Will
    While we wait for 0Z, the glass is at least half full folks… best 10 day potential period of the winter coming up…10 Day 18Z WB GEFS.
  8. Weather Will
    Unfortunately, WB 18Z EPS looks more like the GFS than the GEFS at Day 6.
  9. Weather Will
    If there is one lesson to learn from this winter, the OPs are crap outside 4-5 days. All of them!!! And it works both ways.
  10. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GEFS looks NOTHING like the OP.
  11. Weather Will
    Really a schizophrenic group and I say that in the nicest way possible….
  12. Weather Will
    Full run GEFS made progress over last day’s runs….hopefully trends continue today (WB).
  13. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GEFS for first storm (WB)
  14. Weather Will
    6Z GFS. Day 8 (WB)
  15. Weather Will
  16. Weather Will
    OZ EPS compared to yesterday…nice 24 hour trends…(WB)
  17. Weather Will
    EPS Hour 210 (WB) compared to yesterday
  18. Weather Will
    EPS Day 7. (WB)
  19. Weather Will
    OZ GEPS at Day 10 holds serve over last day (WB).
  20. Weather Will
    Off today…
  21. Weather Will
    12Z Euro still figuring out where the big storm will be….source WB.
  22. Weather Will
    Have to just look at trends outside Day 5 on globals. Nice trends over last day, source 0Z Euro WB
  23. Weather Will
    OZ GEFS at Day 10. Source WB, nice trend over the last day, hope it continues!
  24. Weather Will
    Lawyer in me; giving them credit for their maps.
  25. Weather Will
    Th good news is that we have a chance. The teleconnections, MJO, and stratwarm are looking good…but we need some luck. I am being a realist. Give us a specific threat inside 10 days that is being depicted by the 3 global models and then I will jump full in. Otherwise, in the spirit of Lent, call me the Doubting Thomas.
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