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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. WB 0Z GEFS.... not bad but all is still 10 plus days out.
  2. WB 12Z EPS thru late next week.... holding on by a thread. The GEFS and Canadian are worse.
  3. Few mood flakes on WB 12Z GFS make it east of the mountains overnight Friday.
  4. WB Day 6 EPS....use your imagination on where the bowling ball goes until 12Z comes out.
  5. WB 0Z GEFS does not show much interest in next weekend, one good member....
  6. WB 12Z EPS. Note this is all from late next week 15th and onward.
  7. WB 12Z EURO....for late next week. Hopefully something still to track at 0Z.
  8. None of us will do it, but to keep your sanity, one should just not look at the models for five days and then check back in....the head fakes from run to run are crazy...
  9. WB 18Z GEFS Sad Hour through Day 11...
  10. WB 12Z EPS...looks good but most of this digital snow action is after the 22nd. Trend watching will be fun over the next week!
  11. 6Z GEFS thru Day 8....not great but best look in weeks at this range. Will be interesting to see if we finally trend the right direction inside 8 days.
  12. 18Z WB GEFS through Day 10, Dudsville.
  13. Expectations should be low through the next two weeks...ensembles remain a dud. Forget about AO, NAO, PNA, WPO, EPO, and strat.warm. Say a Hail Mary and hope ET comes home. We need divine intervention.
  14. To keep my expectations in check, I refuse to get head faked by the deterministic models outside 5 days anymore. If their respective ensembles show some support, I keep an eye on it....
  15. Let’s see what 12Z EPS says but I would not bet against it....
  16. DR. No has spoken...WB 12Z GFS, Can, and EURO for the 19th storm or lack of one....
  17. WB 12Z EPS keeps hope alive if you can wait 10 plus days. It will be very interesting to see if a distinct threat comes inside 10 days by the end of this upcoming week. One extra ray of hope is the numbering of heavy hits slightly south of us in the extended period. We are not in the Southern edge of all the heavy hits.
  18. Teleconnection charts have not looked good in the long range for a couple of days and nothing has looked good inside 10 days for weeks on the ensembles so there should not be a lot of shock in here.
  19. Lot of interesting analysis here, but both GFS and EURO are very dry the next 10 days. Hopefully things get more active after the 18th. WB 12Z
  20. My big point is that I am not seeing the holy grail of a sustained -AO, -NAO, + PNA, -EPO. and -WPO. I also don’t know what if any factor the SSW could have or if these teleconnection indices somehow reflect the forecasted SSW.
  21. Seems like everyone should temper their expectations for later this month based on the WB 0Z EPS teleconnection charts. AO and PNA in particular heading the wrong way...
  22. WB 18Z GEFS does give us fantasy snow to dream about beyond next weekend...
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