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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    WB 6Z EPS 3 inch probability maps increased from 0Z but the 6 inch prob maps decreased.
  2. Weather Will
    WB 0Z EPS control
  3. Weather Will
    WB 0Z EPS nice improvements for early next week! Supports the operational...
  4. Weather Will
    Well maybe the GFS will cave at 1030 so everyone won’t be panicking for the 130 EURO... good thing I’m off tomorrow.
  5. Weather Will
    I thought how the models handle the first wave will effect the track/strength of the second wave. I am enjoying the discourse. Thanks.
  6. Weather Will
    WB GFS, what I said was that the GFS has been consistently showing freezing rain for Monday and all over the place for the next Tues. Wed. Wave.
  7. Weather Will
    Can. Last four maps total precipitation
  8. Weather Will
    Ok, just maps. No comments. Last 4 runs of Canadian:
  9. Weather Will
    Agreed that the GFS is all over the place, but it has been pretty consistent showing freezing rain for Monday. My point is that without strong EPS support the EURO should not be taken as a given. I have fallen for it too many times the last few years. Let’s see if the EURO and Canadian show the same result for a few runs in a row first.
  10. Weather Will
    I hope the 0Z runs improve but EPS has not gone above 30% for next week since 0Z. It does not strongly support its deterministic model. There has been one good EURO and Canadian determinative runs and one good EPS control run. No GFS or GEFS support. We have seen several head fakes from the EURO this year...but hope springs eternal... I guess we will know if the GFS or EURO/Canadian are wrong soon enough.
  11. Weather Will
    WB 18z GEFS thru Day 9... laughing hysterically at the snow hole over my neck of the woods...couldn’t draw it better if I tried....
  12. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GEFS thru Day 7 is a disaster...
  13. Weather Will
    WB 12Z EURO control looks like the deterministic....good news!
  14. Weather Will
    WB 12Z EPS, don’t get too excited yet...
  15. Weather Will
    Mean on WB 12Z EPS is pretty dry for DMV.
  16. Weather Will
    Let’s see what the EPS support says before everyone gets too excited...remember what EURO showed at 0Z. No trend yet.
  17. Weather Will
    WB EURO Day 7...ok so where does the next picture go??? Since it is after Day7
  18. Weather Will
    12Z GEFS only has one hit through Day 7.
  19. Weather Will
    WB 12Z GFS thru Day 7
  20. Weather Will
    Yah, doing an experiment with the GEFS... will keep looking at it subtracting 6 hours for each run through the weekend. We will see how it looks as we progress...
  21. Weather Will
    Friendly reminder should be watching the ensembles outside a week....everyone in here knows this, it keeps you from getting whiplash or false hopes...
  22. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GEFS is a slight improvement run thru 9.75 days.
  23. Weather Will
    WB EPS thru Day 10....hopefully will continue to improve as we go through the week and inside 10 days. Lot better than GEFS...
  24. Weather Will
    WB 12Z EURO...rather it do this then rain but models are still over the place...
  25. Weather Will
    WB GEFS thru Day 10 days says we keep waiting....
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