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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Light rain showers in North OC, MD. Not a good beach day but no torrential downpours yet. Nap warning in effect.
  2. Once again, looks like the EURO oversells an event within 24 hours. Note for upcoming winter, GFS is the new Dr. No. (midweek rain is also looking less impressive for most.). It will be interesting to see what we get on the coast.
  3. WB 12Z EURO. At OC, MD, so will let you know if we get anywhere near the 3-4 inches forecast for tomorrow, while home gets nothing.
  4. WB 18Z EURO wet Sunday DC eastward. (Wetter than American models)
  5. WB12Z 3K NAM 8pm. Scattered activity DC westward mid to late afternoon.
  6. WB 6Z 3k NAM. Hopefully you fall under one of the blobs tomorrow evening. I could use some relief from my $500 water bill last quarter.
  7. To my non expert eye, GFS did an above average job with Elsa…from tracking it along the west coast of Florida and generally keeping the heavier rains east of the Bay.
  8. Whichever model shows the least weather around here is usually correct….although other than needed rains for my lawn, you can keep the winds, tornadoes, and flooding out to sea. WB 18Z 3K NAM did shift east from 12Z.
  9. Worst winds east of Bay hopefully eastern shore folks are preparing….
  10. HMON jogged east at 12Z compared to 6Z. Another 30 mile jog and it is east of the Bay with the precip shield. Glad this is not a snowstorm….
  11. WB 12Z GFS shifted Elsa rains NW to just SE of DC for TH.
  12. WB 6Z EURO caved to GFS track, while no effect on DMV outcome worth noting GFS did a better job with the track as we watch for later storms.
  13. Overnight runs greatly diminish any tropical storm threat to Mid Atlantic. WB 0Z EURO and 6Z GFS.
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