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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. 18Z WB GEFS (south of deterministic model) with heavier rain
  2. WB 3K shifted east more in line with global models this run.
  3. WB 6Z GFS big rain event shaping up LA and North and eastward starting Sunday…
  4. Henri thankfully is a nothing burger. Tracked further East and weaker than forecast. Bunch of reporters standing in steady rain. Weather Channel found one boat adrift. EURO did a good job with this one. Was weaker and more east with the track. if this had been forecast to hit the MA, there would be pages full of whining in here…
  5. NOAA Gulfstream IV missions and special weather balloon soundings have been scheduled, and it is hoped that this additional data will help the models handle the evolving steering pattern. Given the uncertainty in the longer range track forecasts, users should be prepared for additional adjustments to the NHC track forecast in future forecast cycles. Does someone know what model cycle will have the new data?
  6. Why are they expanding the FFW eastward? Models and current radar trends still look to be centered on the mountains…. I guess the WB 18Z NAM did shift a little eastward,
  7. WB 12Z GFS still looks wet area wide for work week. Hope it verifies.
  8. Beautiful drizzling day in Brunswick. Will take every drop!
  9. Guess we should watch that little blob near Bermuda…
  10. WB 12Z EURO tropical Probs. (Only go out 10 days).
  11. WB 0Z EURO ensembles say keep an eye on east coast in about 9 days.
  12. WB 18Z 3K NAM compared to 12Z glad it is not winter…
  13. WB 12Z EURO….more rains for central zones; hope it tracks a little more NW, really need the rain in Brunswick.
  14. WB 12Z EURO tropical ensemble for mid August showing some signs of life.
  15. OC, MD a little over an inch today with a steady 20 mph NE wind and highs only near 70. EURO redeemed itself today. Can see clearing skies on the western horizon. Next 5 plus days here look sunny with increasing heat. Hopefully get one more beach day in am before heading back West Friday am. Looks like I will be coming back to crispy grass and trees that will need watering… Picture added a little after 8pm.
  16. First real rainy morning on the MD shore since July 23rd. Now I am hoping the models are correct that my last day on the beach tomorrow clears out in time for one more swim. Overall, it was great beach weather for my two weeks, and next week looks good as well.
  17. WB 18Z. EURO very wet for tomorrow on the shore again compared to GFS and NAM.
  18. Beautiful night in OC, MD. (No rain and good amount of sun all afternoon). Monday and Tuesday look ok. I will be watching to see what happens Wed. And Th… before I head home… WB GEFS 18Z looks wetter for midweek. Since the prob maps never pan out in winter, might as well see if I can jinx the midweek rain on the shore by posting it.
  19. Let’s see how they do with the midweek wave… WB 12Z. EURO is wettest again….
  20. Everything is dry in OC (overcast with peaks of sun) and there are people on the beach. Models did a horrible job. The GFS once again did the best since it was the driest. Hope the midweek wave busts as badly….
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