Weather Will

If there is a glimmer of hope, snow pack is building over the next month in Canada….cold air source perhaps for December…

This looks like it will be more accurate….

Light drizzle, 70

ok….so are there any known correlations between cold Antarctic winters and the upcoming winter for the Northern Hemisphere??? CNN)In a year of extreme heat, Antarctica's last six months were the coldest on record. "For the polar darkness period, from April through September, the average temperature was -60.9 degrees Celsius (-77.6 degrees Fahrenheit), a record for those months," the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) said. The last six months is also the darkest period at the South Pole, which is where the name polar darkness (also called polar night) comes from. Here, the sun sets for the last time around the spring equinox, and does not rise again until near the autumn equinox six months later. For the entire Antarctic continent, the winter of 2021 was the second-coldest on record, with the "temperature for June, July, and August 3.4 degrees Celsius (6.1 degrees Fahrenheit) lower than the 1981 to 2010 average at -62.9 degrees Celsius (-81.2 degrees Fahrenheit)," according to a new report from the NSIDC. "This is the second-coldest winter (June-July-August months) on record, behind only 2004 in the 60-year weather record at Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station," the NSIDC said.

WB 3K NAM. Not a flooding rain, but dreary Sunday appears to be on tap area wide; heavier rain along the coast.

WB 12Z…Euro shifted east with heaviest rain, but it and Can. still nothing like GFS for the weekend.

WB 12Z through the weekend on the major models…GFS is still the driest. I think tracking this winter is going to be very frustrating. I guess I won’t get my expectations up for snowstorms outside three days unless at least three global models are in agreement.

Drizzle all day in Brunswick.

WB 12Z EURO is very wet next week….

Beautiful day everyone….since it is boring let’s see which model has a better handle on the next 10 days EURO/ Canadian dry or the wet GFS.

WB 18Z EURO

WB 12Z EURO ensembles

WB 12Z runs precipitation totals for mid to late week event. GFS, EURO, and GDPS.

WB 12Z EURO rains this week. Heaviest looks like Th. afternoon/ evening.

WB 18Z GFS. First digital snow of the season just to our north…will have to dust off the prob maps.

WB 12Z Euro ensembles like the wave way out off the coast of Africa.

Larry will bring 2-4 ft of snow to Greenland! WB 12Z EURO…

Lots of lightning, and wind has picked up. Looks like the first line will miss me and go North of MD 340. Was wrong, raining hard now in Brunswick.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch includes most of the DMV until midnight.

Flood Watch issued for northern suburbs. 611 PM EDT Wed Sep 8 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of central Maryland, north central Maryland, northeast Maryland and northern Maryland, including the following areas: in central Maryland, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Northwest Howard and Northwest Montgomery. In north central Maryland, Carroll and Frederick MD. In northeast Maryland, Cecil. In northern Maryland, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Southeast Harford and Southern Baltimore. * Until 2 AM EDT Thursday. * Showers and scattered thunderstorms are expected tonight. Average rainfall amounts of one-half to one inch is expected. However, thunderstorms will contain very heavy rainfall with rainfall rates around 1 to 3 inches per hour. Localized rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible. * Heavy amounts of rain in a short period of time may cause creeks and streams to rapidly rise out of their banks as well as the potential for flash-flooding in urban areas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

WB 12Z 3K NAM brings some decent thunderstorm rains later today and overnight.

WB EURO December seasonal. If we get a White Christmas, I would call it a winter!

Over 4 inches in Brunswick. First inch or two really soaked into the ground before the really heavy rain mid to late afternoon. Not much wind or lightning. Great start to climatological fall for the yard…it has been very dry over the mid and late summer season in SW Frederick county MD

About .75 in my rain gauge since last night. Most rain in over a month. Perfect!!!

WB 18Z EURO