Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 12Z AI EURO Low is intensifying more this run which is great, but a little too far off the coast this run. We need perfect track and intensity for this to work with marginal temps.
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WB 12Z EURO AI total precip. compared to 6Z
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Can you pin this thread? Thanks.
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WB 12Z 12K NAM is a weak, southern slider.....need to see improvement within 36 hours or we can finally put this threat to bed.
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Flurries...
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WB 6Z ICON
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WB 0Z AI EPS at Day 5. About 40% with a hit.
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I sure did. Sorry.
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WB 0Z EURO
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Spunky for a newbie to open a thread; but we need some new energy!!!!
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It has not been pinned but BNCHO started a thread for the weekend threat.
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I guess everyone including myself gave up on the weekend, but at 18Z pretty significant jump North on the AI EURO that everyone loves. Also, a significant jump in snow prob. (Comparison to 12Z).
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WB 18Z AI EPS: maybe 30%....
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WB 18Z EPS: about 10% chance.
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How many drinks have you had this evening?!
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Putting things in perspective, 12Z GEFS has three members out of 30 bringing snow this weekend- 10% chance.
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Agree that once inside 5 days EURO AI is hard to bet against, especially when its global is in agreement.
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EURO is south/weak.
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EURO AI remains weak sauce and south.
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The tracking so long is really exhausting. Really need to dial back until we get inside 5 days to keep one's sanity. Just look at whether pattern is favorable outside 5 days rather than focus on a particular shortwave.
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Have a system to track inside 5 days.. 12Z model summary. GFS: still a southern slider with no phasing. Heaviest precip. southeast; DC about .3 inch; temps upper 30s-40s SE. Canadian: less amped this run so not as cold; but still snow for NW burbs. Precip. 1-2 inches; 6 inches snow NW; 2 inches DC; temps mid 30s this run compared to upper 20s last run.
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WB latest EPS extended control will verify.....Ji get the Tylenol....
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Kind of exhausted tracking the last two weeks; get something showing up inside 5 days and I will get back on the saddle...
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WB 18Z AI EPS tanked like the GEFS.
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WB 18Z GEFS says it is over for this weekend.
