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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. The midweek ice event looks marginal at best...more wet than icy. WB 6Z GEFS
  2. Atlantic basin is not boiling like I remember last year....so hopefully SER does not overwhelm us...
  3. What is so encouraging to me is the amount of cold air available....WB 0Z EURO. At Day 15. .Need cold air for snow....
  4. For me, this potential gives me some comfort that we can still have winter in the Mid Atlantic....with a little luck lots of tracking on deck! WB 0Z GFS epic run....
  5. Latest MJO...l hope EPS is correct....
  6. Latest WB EPS extended is warmer than yesterday's run...will need to be watched for any new trends.
  7. WB 0Z ensemble snow means, most/ all after Day 10....
  8. WB 6Z GFS....at least the salt will wash away by Saturday am. Clean slate for February.
  9. I post the control just to irritate you.... actually I think I posted the EPS mean as well. Signals don't seem very clear to be on how February will turn out, at least compared to January, so we watch and look for trends.
  10. WB EPS teleconnections next two weeks are meh, so again patience.
  11. GEFS MJO has some members with major forcing in phase 6. If those members are correct, it is over, so watching that the next week for trends. I agree that MJO is not the only variable but if it is that strong into 6 its lights out.
  12. WB EPS extended control the next 46 days....sold. Extended EPS not bad either. Patience.... we won't know for a couple weeks. Need to get the MJO into phase 8....
  13. WB 12Z GEPS....see you in the second week of February....
  14. Snow flurries....
  15. Crazy at work, but casual observation that we are still in the game at 6Z for wintry precipitation inside 10 days. Two big hits to our south on WB 6Z GEFS.
  16. Looks like there will be more chances in February. Latest WB EPS extended.
  17. One final band going through...my sidewalk is covered again.....
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