For me, this potential gives me some comfort that we can still have winter in the Mid Atlantic....with a little luck lots of tracking on deck! WB 0Z GFS epic run....
I post the control just to irritate you....
actually I think I posted the EPS mean as well.
Signals don't seem very clear to be on how February will turn out, at least compared to January, so we watch and look for trends.
GEFS MJO has some members with major forcing in phase 6. If those members are correct, it is over, so watching that the next week for trends. I agree that MJO is not the only variable but if it is that strong into 6 its lights out.
WB EPS extended control the next 46 days....sold. Extended EPS not bad either. Patience.... we won't know for a couple weeks. Need to get the MJO into phase 8....
Crazy at work, but casual observation that we are still in the game at 6Z for wintry precipitation inside 10 days. Two big hits to our south on WB 6Z GEFS.