Yup….not a torch. Look, it may be wrong but the guidance I have reviewed does not indicate a prolonged January thaw or that winter is over after the holidays.
I've seen the gefs change on a dime when the op model does. Consistency does not mean right
When the GFS had its bad 12Z run, the low pressure tracks did not all shift west.
18Z NBM at the end of its run with storm 2 included. Epic Christmas weekend if it verifies. Don’t give up hope yet, we have a ways to go….buckle up!!!!