Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 0Z GEFS…there are both torch and colder members at mid month. My guess is we see whether the MJO actually goes into phases 8-1 or not.
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Latest MJO….maybe we go into Phase 8 mid month.
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WB 12Z GFS…weekend flizzard.
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WB 6Z GEFS…still watching mid January.
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And of course, the WB 12Z EURO control has it….
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By the end of next week, it will shift westward and be another blizzard for Buffalo…but until then I will watch it….(perhaps keeping an eye on it will make all of the work that has piled up while I have been off for a week bearable to get through as I go back...)
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Few acceptable hits on the WB 12Z EPS clown maps for the second half of the period….
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WB EPS at Day 12.
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WB 12Z EPS Under Day 10….
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Believe….
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WB day 14 GEFS….is this a strat. warm that if correct could shake up the pattern?
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WB 12Z GEFS…middle of next week (under 10 days)…is at least a bone to watch…
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Looking at the WB 6Z CFS extended there looks to be two windows of opportunity with colder air. The first period is the 7 day period peaking about the 13th. It then warms up again, and we get another colder shot move in around the 26th lasting until the end of the run in mid February with the peak of the cold centered around the 7 day period ending February 6.
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Actually this flip is different from the December cold snap….so hopefully we will get a different result….the trough is retrograding westward. It is not an arctic cold front…WB 18Z GEFS.
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WB 18Z GEFS P26 for this Friday’s storm. P2 for the January 11 storm. P13 for the January 15 storm…. What could possibly go wrong????
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WB 12Z ensembles…. Hopefully see big improvements by next weekend under Day 15. Patience will be needed before our next window of opportunity.
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Lot of false hope in December with H5 maps…chance of any meaningful snow the first week of January is de minimus. Maybe by next weekend there will be someone to track inside 10 days.
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WB OZ EURO in fantasy range
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WB 18Z GEFS still advertises an improving pattern and progressively colder air as we approach mid month.
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WB 17 GEFS Friday precip.
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WB 18Z GEFS not impressed with late week….
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They need to add Frederick….the local tv Mets from yesterday did a bad job with today’s weather….no mention of fog….
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Very poor visibility with rain and fog in the drive home from dinner between Frederick and Brunswick…Littje surprised no dense fog advisory in effect….
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WB 18Z CVSv2 has it below normal 30 day period January 13-February 12. The precip. For the entire period is high….we need some luck.
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WB Extended GEFS control for the 35 day period, yah, I know but this place has gotten so depressing…and you always must have hope as you get ready to start the New Year!
