Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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Here is precip amounts in 6 hour increments to try to show the point that after 1am it is winding down.
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We definitely go above freezing upstairs between 7pm and 1 am on Mon. Exactly when your location loses the mid levels will determine the exact snow amounts. That being said, this is a quick hitter, with most precipitation out of here by 1am.
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WB 6Z EURO
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WB 0z models
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Quick thump, heaviest precipitation comes in between 1-4 and is over before 1am Mon most areas.
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WB 18Z EURO
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WB 12Z ICON, not Kuchera so probably underdone.
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Since we are looking at 84 hour NAM here is WB 9Z SREF Mean at hour 87
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Not trying to be argumentative, just trying to understand and taking any extrapolation of the NAM with a lot of salt…
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No expert but is the NAM further south or just moving more slowly then GFS?
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My thought is the bleeding to the west has at least temporarily stopped. Now we see if we start moving a little eastward, like the last big storm or is it locking in…
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WB 6Z v 0Z tick east in snow mean.
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96
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WB EPS Hr. 90 6z v 0z
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Slight improvements….0Z to 6Z; every 25 mile shift in storm track either way will make a big difference for everyone. 4 days and counting….
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WB 6Z GFS; slight tick SE.
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WB 6Z ICON
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WB 0Z GFS storm totals actually very similar to 18Z
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102
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96
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WB 0Z GFS 90
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WB 0Z ICON
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WB ICON 1am Mon 18Z v 0Z
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GEFS does not have Kuchera on WB so snow maps are probably underdone NW. Also precipitation is slightly less.
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I am glad you are in a better mood!!!! Never give up!!!
