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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. The consensus forecast is the heaviest snows will be north and east of the DMV. So track with low expectations and you won’t be disappointed.
  2. GFS is King until it is dethroned. Hang on tight!!!! It is not going to snow for 4 days. Lifetime in model land…
  3. The Miller Classification was created by meteorologist and researcher J.E. Miller in 1946. Meteorologists use the technique to determine the track and severity of nor'easters. Source: Wiki.
  4. The WB 18Z Control shows what the 18Z EURO would have likely shown if it had gone out 6 days.
  5. 18z WB GEFS eastern suburbs see a glimmer of hope. Only one good hit for everyone
  6. Latest from Sterling NWS. Most solutions (in both deterministic and ensemble guidance) favor surface cyclogenesis in response to this upper trough occurring well offshore. Some snow showers appear likely as lift attendant to the trough progresses through during the day on Friday. If the developing coastal low were to trend further north and west, there could be a more substantial snowfall, but that solution currently appears unlikely. Conditions should be windy on Sunday as the rapidly deepening coastal low departs off to our northeast.
  7. From NWS…Accumulating Snow Through This Evening...Scattered to numerous snow showers are expected late this afternoon through this evening across northern Maryland and eastern West Virginia. Temperatures will fall into the mid and upper 20s during this time, and snowfall accumulations around a coating to an inch are most likely. The best chance for snow showers will be from 4 PM through midnight. Untreated surfaces may become slippery or even icy during this time, so please use extra caution when travelling through this evening.
  8. 12Z WB EURO has a low closer to Bermuda than the East coast. But in fairness, it has not shown a serious threat for the upcoming weekend.
  9. ICON is a fringe even for Maine…my expectations for GFS are very low….
  10. WB Extended GEFS does not show torch through mid February but trends normal by mid month
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