Weather Will

There is snow on the beach at OCMD this am.....pull up a webcam!

It was not that long ago that the temps on the weeklies showed it would be around the 10th when temps would start to go below average and the pattern would begin to be conducive for snow. If there is no tracking by mid month, I will be disappointed. Until then, patience is needed, and maybe we will get lucky with a small event before then....I am watching Sunday.... WB 18Z EURO compared to 12Z.

Noticed that GEFS is heading MJO into Phase 6. IF correct, we will have to wait through mid January for a great pattern....on other hand EURO has it neutral before heading back toward 7-8. I think that is why we are struggling with the mid range. Phase 6 won't work....

Few flurries!

WB 18Z GEFS snow totals through Day 13....everyone just needs to keep expectations in check with one day 10 forecast run of a global model. Hopefully the pattern will deliver. Fighting stomach flu and taking down Christmas decorations. It was nice to get a good run to brighten my spirits.

WB 18Z GEFS for Day 10.

I guess what I'm trying to say is that I'm not seeing much snow potential until the following weekend storm period...about Jan. 9 forward.

18Z GFS Absolute Disaster and 18Z EURO AI is snowless too. 10 pages of hype will hopefully still deliver but it is not snowing this week. Let's see what the models show next weekend before getting too excited about January. We've been down this road too many times before...

Glad I decided to take down the outdoor Christmas decorations today.... District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard- Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene- Madison-Rappahannock-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1211 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central, north central, northeast, northern, and southern Maryland, and central, northern, and northwest Virginia. * WHEN...From 9 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

I see why no one is talking about the 12Z GFS but it does have a big dog in the 2nd weekend of Jan...so now we wait for the triumphant victory or the agony of defeat.

It is rare air to get all the teleconnections to line up in our favor.....heading in that direction as we go through the next 2 weeks. WB 0Z EPS.

Latest EPS extended through early February. Just need it to deliver.

Happy for our NY friends: from NY NWS: If the forecast verifies, Central Park will receive its first snowfall of greater than 4 inches since January 2022. In the January 28-29, 2022 storm 8.3 inches was observed.

Yes, could be a sneaky freezing rain event here. Roads could be icy Friday evening.

WB 12Z EURO