Weather Will

WB 0Z EURO AI is closer for storm 1.

More GEFS support for Storm 2. WB 0Z GEFS.

WB 0Z HRRR much wetter than 18Z. At least some much needed moisture on the way....

I am confused about MJO phases. Is there a good link anyone has? I thought Phase 1 was ok, but apparently it is warm in February at least with a La Niña..That is where he thinks we are headed the first two weeks of February.

Models are all over the place. At the point of taking just one week at a time, and if there is nothing there focus on something else, like doing my taxes....

Very depressing JB video tonight. States 7-10 day period to get something then pattern will get warm until later in February.

It's Day 9 on the GFS.... this one still has a long way to go.

WB 18Z GFS.... yes it did, and it may even have a more neutral tilt by Th. Am but too little too late for us this run.

WB 18Z GFS....positively tilted trough is bad....

WB 18Z 3K NAM: and what happened to that 60-70 degree weather forecasted before Sunday????

I like the next weekend potential better.... WB 12Z GEFS for next weekend.

WB 12Z GEFS.....trough is not going negative. Right now looks like a fish storm next week.

I am not saying GEFS is right...hopefully we will be tracking a threat by the end of this weekend.

Yup! WB 6Z GEFS through Day 13 says it all:

WB 18Z EURO AI has a trough next weekend that is digging further south this run....