Weather Will

Missed my point. I know it is not snowing this week....the ensembles beyond 7 days stink and people should not get anxious about it. If the ensembles light up next week inside 7 days that means we have something to track because inside a week they are worth looking at because they are more accurate as you state above.

People hate the snow maps, but on quick glance at the WB 12Z EPS show last no chance of snow over the next week. Hopefully, this will look better by next Sunday for the following week.

To clarify, when I posted the phase 6 graphics, I was not canceling winter, but rather pointing out that this not conducive to a mid January cold and snowy period. Even JB said this is a red flag.... I am in the "let's see something within 5 days on more than one model camp" before I get excited about any winter weather.

Unfortunately, MJO is now forecasted into Phase 6 mid month. Until it goes through it, not much hope for a good pattern. This was not expected by any of the snowy, cold prognosticators even a week ago.

WB 18Z EPS AI.... all of the hits are at least 11 days away so hopefully we will something to track by the end of NEXT weekend....

Maybe!!!!! That is why there are crazy people like us that look at every run!!!! If I were smart I would turn it off for a week....

WB latest EPS extended. Three weeks until our snowy week.

WB 0Z EURO. Looks like the mini thaw peaks on January 9. Hopefully, we will have something to track by next weekend for the second half of January. (By the way, this is very consistent with what the extended EURO has shown for several weeks. No can kicks here....).

WB 0Z EPS. Next big dog chance a couple weeks away....enjoy the break this week. Clean up the yard warning in effect.....

SNOW SQUALL WARNING NWS BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 429 AM EST THU JAN 1 2026 MDC005-013-021-027-031-043-VAC043-069-107-165-171-187-840-WVC003-027-031-037-011030- /O.NEW.KLWX.SQ.W.0004.260101T0929Z-260101T1030Z/ 429 AM EST THU JAN 1 2026 Baltimore County MD-Carroll County MD-Frederick County MD-Howard County MD-Montgomery County MD-Washington County MD-Clarke County VA-Frederick County VA-Loudoun County VA-Rockingham County VA-Shenandoah County VA-Warren County VA-City of Winchester County VA-Berkeley County WV-Hampshire County WV-Hardy County WV-Jefferson County WV- The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Snow Squall Warning for... Southeastern Washington County in north central Maryland... Howard County in central Maryland... Montgomery County in central Maryland... Southern Frederick County in north central Maryland... Southwestern Baltimore County in northern Maryland... South central Carroll County in north central Maryland... Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Shenandoah County in northwestern Virginia... Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northeastern Rockingham County in western Virginia... Warren County in northwestern Virginia... Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... The City of Winchester in northwestern Virginia... Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Central Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... South central Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Southeastern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 530 AM EST. * At 429 AM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line extending from near New Market to near Berryville to near Moorefield, moving southeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Intense bursts of heavy snow. Gusty winds leading to blowing snow and visibility rapidly falling to less than one-quarter mile. Wind gusts up to 35 mph. SOURCE...Radar and webcams. IMPACT...Dangerous and life-threatening travel conditions are expected to develop rapidly in the warning area.

Amazing!!!!!! Like a blizzard!!!!!! Roads covered.

County VA-Frederick County VA-Loudoun County VA-Berkeley County WV-Hampshire County WV-Hardy County WV-Jefferson County WV-Mineral County WV-Morgan County WV- The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Snow Squall Warning for... Washington County in north central Maryland... Northwestern Carroll County in north central Maryland... Frederick County in north central Maryland... Northern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Central Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northern Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... Northern Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 430 AM EST. * At 329 AM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line extending from 6 miles southeast of Mount Holly Springs to near Berkeley Springs to Keyser, moving southeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Intense bursts of heavy snow. Gusty winds leading to blowing snow and visibility rapidly falling to less than one-quarter mile. Wind gusts up to 35 mph. SOURCE...Radar and webcams. IMPACT...Dangerous and life-threatening travel conditions are expected to develop rapidly in the warning area. This includes the following highways... Interstate 68 in Maryland between mile markers 72 and 80. Interstate 70 in Maryland between mile markers 1 and 58. Interstate 81 in Maryland between mile markers 1 and 11. Interstate 270 in Maryland near mile marker 32. Locations impacted include... Frederick, Hagerstown, Winchester, Westminster, Martinsburg, Thurmont, Keyser, Charles Town, Emmitsburg, Moorefield, Romney, Shepherdstown, Hancock, Paw Paw, Municipal Stadium, Harry Grove Stadium, Greenwood, Ballenger Creek, Robinwood, and Taneytown. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Reduce speed and turn on headlights! During snow squalls, the visibility may suddenly drop to near zero in whiteout conditions.

0Z NAM ticked south...no dice. Wishing all of you a Healthy and Happy 2026!!!! And a Blizzard or Two!!!

I agree.....that is why I'm saving this picture for mid month....

Let's test the can kicking of the models. Below are WB EPS 12Z temp panels for the 15th. Let's see which way they trend over the next two weeks.