Weather Will

WB 18Z AI EPS 7 day height anomalies ending 21st.

WB 6Z EURO. Rainy period on tap for Friday-Sunday.

WB latest GEFS extended likes the seven day period ending Jan. 25.

WB 12Z EPS probabilities for 3 inches the next 15 days....hopefully this will increase by the weekend.

On the bright side, if we get enough rain this weekend, it will wash the salt away. WB 12Z GFS

Latest WB EPS extended for first two weeks of February show below normal temps and normal precipitation.

In a new post, JB states there will be a 5-7 day window for an east coast storm but then we will wait until February with the MJO going into Phase 6.

Missed my point. I know it is not snowing this week....the ensembles beyond 7 days stink and people should not get anxious about it. If the ensembles light up next week inside 7 days that means we have something to track because inside a week they are worth looking at because they are more accurate as you state above.

People hate the snow maps, but on quick glance at the WB 12Z EPS show last no chance of snow over the next week. Hopefully, this will look better by next Sunday for the following week.

To clarify, when I posted the phase 6 graphics, I was not canceling winter, but rather pointing out that this not conducive to a mid January cold and snowy period. Even JB said this is a red flag.... I am in the "let's see something within 5 days on more than one model camp" before I get excited about any winter weather.

Unfortunately, MJO is now forecasted into Phase 6 mid month. Until it goes through it, not much hope for a good pattern. This was not expected by any of the snowy, cold prognosticators even a week ago.

WB 18Z EPS AI.... all of the hits are at least 11 days away so hopefully we will something to track by the end of NEXT weekend....

Maybe!!!!! That is why there are crazy people like us that look at every run!!!! If I were smart I would turn it off for a week....

WB latest EPS extended. Three weeks until our snowy week.

WB 0Z EURO. Looks like the mini thaw peaks on January 9. Hopefully, we will have something to track by next weekend for the second half of January. (By the way, this is very consistent with what the extended EURO has shown for several weeks. No can kicks here....).