Looking to the skies

Chilly day here is S Georgia ( Hazlehurst ). It has been a while since I posted. Hurricane Helene did tremendous damage in our area and my 2 acres was not spared. I lost over 23 trees , had my well house and well damaged .i was without power for 3 1/2 weeks, water 7 weeks. Looking at the weekend system will it have all the fuel and ingredients or will we be spared in the mid south and S again? Looks more likely to give us trouble ( not me so much)

This Nov/Dec has not been as the last few years before. Here in S E Ga we have not had many highs above 70 , and most of Dec has been in the 50/60 for highs. We have gotten low as 25 here and it was 29 here this morning. It has been cooler here some days than in NW Ga.

Again You just contradicted what many other Mets have very recently said. They are saying there is plenty to support the data they are using. MEI of .06 and the indicators are just as strong and are similar to 2009-10, 1983, 1987, 2014 and others

Just puzzling, with all the evidence and then NOAA come out and say warm and dry basically except for far s east. Their reasoning does not make sense. I have lived here all my life. The only thing i can figure is the climate agenda and the belief that winter is changing. I know better than that. Seasons remain.

Ok Guys I am just seeking some understanding on something. How are NOAA calling for a record El Nino and others calling for a weak with the same data to work with? is it true we are at .06 now? That is a very weak, nothing like the 2.5 of 2015. I am just trying to understand. I would hate to believe an individual would trade their knowledge ( on either side of a cause ) for an agenda. It is hard for me to grasp such a wide prognostication on the same data.

I think there will be a path through S Ga akin to like Ivan did in S Al in 2004. We were in BayMinette then and from there through Atmore, Monroeville and points N he ripped it up good.

Wind was ahead and with them. I am in Hazlehurst, Ga. It has been quiet up to the showers in the last 2-3 hours. I have been through 6/7 hurricanes.

That Low is not coming that far S

Eye trying

Euro ensembles showing a loop, almost every one turns back south.

I will be at Warrensville at a Cabin from 23-25 leaving Monday morn by check out time. It will be interesting to see what I find accumulation wise. Everyone is saying 1-3 on the Apps. Gonna be a tough drive from Hazlehurst Ga Friday before we arrive that late afternoon.

I hate the GFS. May Matilda put it to Eternal rest

We live in Hazlehurst Georgia now. We desperately need the rain Ian could bring. My pond is about 10’ below the level it was last year. It looks bad. I do not need 50-70mph winds with the pines on my property. So I need 6-8” of rain , that would help tremendously, but I don’t need trees on my trailer or sheds

Charleston SC nws believes only beach areas will see any tropical force winds / gusts and have chosen to not issue any tropical storm watches for any inland counties they cover. How can you designate a storm a tropical storm and not believe it even has winds of 39mph with it? I understand it will be asymmetrical but surely local (Charleston) Mets follow the lead of the NHC?

Prospero I am a graduate of Poplarville, and PRCC. I used to come down to Waveland on Sunday afternoon after church with a family that went to the church I attended at Picayune. Jumped off their pier and went swimming and such. I loved Gulfport.