I like where the JmA has the low forming. 850’s are below freezing and I’m assuming that’s when it goes to town. A bunch of precip falls after this so I’m assuming it’s good
I would go with euro, nam and rgem at this range. Plus cmc got us good too. Gfs is a horrible model a little worried about ukmet but it shows 2-4 there and the low placement went east so that’s a good sign
All the good models have 6+ for Central Park I would issue a winter storm warning if I were working for them!
edit: I’ll bet that Central Park will be a winter storm watch by tomorrow morning