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Everything posted by NYCweatherNOW
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Come on man I’m not that bad am I? I know I give up late but that’s cause I’m a I just have a good feeling this time for the rest of the winter.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
January 23rd 2016 euro is exactly what I had in mind. Looks similar to the nam 18z- 1,119 replies
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Clownmap?
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Does anyone have the ukmet clownmap?
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It is not colder bro it’s a warm outlier right now. Euro, icon, nam and ukmet are all colder- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Agreed, but hey I’m a cold weenie and I’m taking that run and running with it. Although GFS is going to shut me down now I’m sure let’s see!- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It does change to some light rain at the end as the surface warms but still 80% of the storm is frozen can’t deny that!- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I said 3-6 area wide is a possibility. Lower end in the city and northern suburbs could get 6 inches. I’m just going with the trend here.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It’s because the primary is coming in weaker, decreasing the warm air invasion.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
3-4 is not out of the question if this thing trends a little colder. It’s very cold and dry before the storm moves in. And the gradient between the dry air and precipitation could halt any warm air advection before we thump 3-4 inches of snow! It’s happened before it could happen again. 3-6 meaning region wide not Central Park!- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
What are you talking about! It’s for sure colder.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nam is basically an all snow event!- 1,119 replies
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He loves hot dogs he’s a weenie
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January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NYCweatherNOW replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
I’m going to go on a limb here and say we’re going to start getting a lot of snow soon. Yo me this is the type of pattern that’s just cold enough but not too cold to suppress our storms. That’s just my gut to be honest... but cmc and gfs both have the storm for next week and it’s not cutting or out to sea. It’s kinda shredded but it does eventually redevelop off the coast of Cape Hatteras. Let’s see what the euro says for next weeks storm, Saturday's event looks like a minimal snow event changing to rain on all models now! -
Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The models don’t really account for the evaporative cooling since it will be very dry when the snow comes in, and than once the heavier batch comes in we should cool down some more from dynamic cooling. Half of the precipitation here falls as snow in my opinion. Trenton and south is snow sleet mix turning into rain. 2-4 is a good bet for the city proper- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I live in armonk but I work in the city, but my parents live in the Bronx. It’s complicated. I think still this is 2-4 in the city- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I don’t think we only get a dusting here only. This is a 2-4 inch snow to rain event in my opinion. No model has a dusting only- 1,119 replies
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I would give it until February 10th to sort of give up on winter. It’s still early
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
By tomorrow we will be- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I’ve been saying this is a 2-4 inches followed by rain. I don’t like the setup. I do like the cold for a quick snow event followed by rain unless the precip gets shredded. If it comes in like a wall we’ll get a decent thump- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Let’s be honest weather isn’t exact science and models are usually wrong. Past 2-3 days I don’t believe it- 1,119 replies
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GFS IS TRASH!
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Eps 6z?
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
This is a 2-4 inches of snow in my opinion. It’s a good thump followed by rain! You know models always underestimate dynamic and evaporative cooling that’s a fact. So whatever the models show the rain snow line, take it down another 20 miles at least south.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
NYCweatherNOW replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
South west flow event- 1,119 replies
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